Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 15, projects a 24–27°C temperature range for May 16 under a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, driving cloudy conditions, occasional showers, and thunderstorms with heavy rain in some areas early—explaining trader consensus on 27°C (37%) and 26°C (30.5%) as leading maxima. Differentiating factors include shower timing and coverage: persistent morning precipitation and 80–95% relative humidity could cap peaks at 26°C by limiting solar insolation, while partial afternoon clearing, urban heat island effects at the Observatory station, or weaker cloud forcing might enable 27°C. East-southeast winds at force 4–5 reinforce moisture influx, holding temperatures below May climatological highs near 28°C; monitor hourly updates and real-time observations for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
27°C 35%
26°C 33%
28°C 18%
25°C 10.5%
NUEVO
$92,166 Vol.
NUEVO
$92,166 Vol.
16 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
11%
26°C
33%
27°C
35%
28°C
18%
29°C or higher
6%
27°C 35%
26°C 33%
28°C 18%
25°C 10.5%
NUEVO
$92,166 Vol.
NUEVO
$92,166 Vol.
16 may 2026
19°C or below
$18,029 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$11,619 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$11,859 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,600 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,631 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$16,505 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,541 Vol.
11%
26°C
$4,131 Vol.
33%
27°C
$4,106 Vol.
35%
28°C
$3,565 Vol.
18%
29°C or higher
$7,083 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 15, projects a 24–27°C temperature range for May 16 under a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, driving cloudy conditions, occasional showers, and thunderstorms with heavy rain in some areas early—explaining trader consensus on 27°C (37%) and 26°C (30.5%) as leading maxima. Differentiating factors include shower timing and coverage: persistent morning precipitation and 80–95% relative humidity could cap peaks at 26°C by limiting solar insolation, while partial afternoon clearing, urban heat island effects at the Observatory station, or weaker cloud forcing might enable 27°C. East-southeast winds at force 4–5 reinforce moisture influx, holding temperatures below May climatological highs near 28°C; monitor hourly updates and real-time observations for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$92,166Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 15, projects a 24–27°C temperature range for May 16 under a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, driving cloudy conditions, occasional showers, and thunderstorms with heavy rain in some areas early—explaining trader consensus on 27°C (37%) and 26°C (30.5%) as leading maxima. Differentiating factors include shower timing and coverage: persistent morning precipitation and 80–95% relative humidity could cap peaks at 26°C by limiting solar insolation, while partial afternoon clearing, urban heat island effects at the Observatory station, or weaker cloud forcing might enable 27°C. East-southeast winds at force 4–5 reinforce moisture influx, holding temperatures below May climatological highs near 28°C; monitor hourly updates and real-time observations for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$92,166Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 15, projects a 24–27°C temperature range for May 16 under a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, driving cloudy conditions, occasional showers, and thunderstorms with heavy rain in some areas early—explaining trader consensus on 27°C (37%) and 26°C (30.5%) as leading maxima. Differentiating factors include shower timing and coverage: persistent morning precipitation and 80–95% relative humidity could cap peaks at 26°C by limiting solar insolation, while partial afternoon clearing, urban heat island effects at the Observatory station, or weaker cloud forcing might enable 27°C. East-southeast winds at force 4–5 reinforce moisture influx, holding temperatures below May climatological highs near 28°C; monitor hourly updates and real-time observations for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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