Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a daytime high of 13°C in Paris today, with 98.5% implied probability, driven by Météo-France's latest hourly forecasts showing persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and cool northerly winds capping temperatures between 5°C and 14°C. Current observations from Paris-Montsouris station confirm midday readings around 12°C under light cloud, aligning with ECMWF model runs predicting limited insolation and a stable boundary layer inhibiting warming. This positioning reflects a week-long rainy spell across Île-de-France, well below May averages of 18–19°C. Realistic challenges include unanticipated afternoon clearing or ridge strengthening aloft, potentially nudging the high to 14°C, though low sun angles and high humidity reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en París el 15 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más alta en París el 15 de mayo?
13°C 99.3%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$126,796 Vol.
$126,796 Vol.
15 may 2026
13°C
99%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o más
<1%
13°C 99.3%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$126,796 Vol.
$126,796 Vol.
15 may 2026
13°C
$28,437 Vol.
99%
14°C
$22,285 Vol.
1%
15°C
$19,523 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$8,737 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,955 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,158 Vol.
<1%
19°C o más
$5,134 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a daytime high of 13°C in Paris today, with 98.5% implied probability, driven by Météo-France's latest hourly forecasts showing persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and cool northerly winds capping temperatures between 5°C and 14°C. Current observations from Paris-Montsouris station confirm midday readings around 12°C under light cloud, aligning with ECMWF model runs predicting limited insolation and a stable boundary layer inhibiting warming. This positioning reflects a week-long rainy spell across Île-de-France, well below May averages of 18–19°C. Realistic challenges include unanticipated afternoon clearing or ridge strengthening aloft, potentially nudging the high to 14°C, though low sun angles and high humidity reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$126,796Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a daytime high of 13°C in Paris today, with 98.5% implied probability, driven by Météo-France's latest hourly forecasts showing persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and cool northerly winds capping temperatures between 5°C and 14°C. Current observations from Paris-Montsouris station confirm midday readings around 12°C under light cloud, aligning with ECMWF model runs predicting limited insolation and a stable boundary layer inhibiting warming. This positioning reflects a week-long rainy spell across Île-de-France, well below May averages of 18–19°C. Realistic challenges include unanticipated afternoon clearing or ridge strengthening aloft, potentially nudging the high to 14°C, though low sun angles and high humidity reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$126,796Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a daytime high of 13°C in Paris today, with 98.5% implied probability, driven by Météo-France's latest hourly forecasts showing persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and cool northerly winds capping temperatures between 5°C and 14°C. Current observations from Paris-Montsouris station confirm midday readings around 12°C under light cloud, aligning with ECMWF model runs predicting limited insolation and a stable boundary layer inhibiting warming. This positioning reflects a week-long rainy spell across Île-de-France, well below May averages of 18–19°C. Realistic challenges include unanticipated afternoon clearing or ridge strengthening aloft, potentially nudging the high to 14°C, though low sun angles and high humidity reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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