Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime high near 88°F in Austin on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup favors the market-implied 53% odds on 88°F or higher, though scattered afternoon convection could trim peak readings by a degree or two. Historical May climatology shows average highs around 86°F, placing the current forecast slightly above normal and reinforcing trader consensus on the upper end of the distribution. The final official high, recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, will resolve the market once the day ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 17 de mayo?
88°F or higher 54%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 9.3%
82-83°F 1.6%
NUEVO
$14,560 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,560 Vol.
17 may 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
32%
88°F or higher
54%
88°F or higher 54%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 9.3%
82-83°F 1.6%
NUEVO
$14,560 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,560 Vol.
17 may 2026
69°F or below
$1,206 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,464 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,894 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$536 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$537 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$385 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$560 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$759 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$378 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$479 Vol.
32%
88°F or higher
$1,388 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime high near 88°F in Austin on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup favors the market-implied 53% odds on 88°F or higher, though scattered afternoon convection could trim peak readings by a degree or two. Historical May climatology shows average highs around 86°F, placing the current forecast slightly above normal and reinforcing trader consensus on the upper end of the distribution. The final official high, recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, will resolve the market once the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$14,560Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime high near 88°F in Austin on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup favors the market-implied 53% odds on 88°F or higher, though scattered afternoon convection could trim peak readings by a degree or two. Historical May climatology shows average highs around 86°F, placing the current forecast slightly above normal and reinforcing trader consensus on the upper end of the distribution. The final official high, recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, will resolve the market once the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,560Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSLatest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime high near 88°F in Austin on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup favors the market-implied 53% odds on 88°F or higher, though scattered afternoon convection could trim peak readings by a degree or two. Historical May climatology shows average highs around 86°F, placing the current forecast slightly above normal and reinforcing trader consensus on the upper end of the distribution. The final official high, recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, will resolve the market once the day ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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