National Weather Service forecasts for the Austin area project highs in the upper 80s to 90s on Saturday, May 16, amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient diurnal heating, positioning the market-implied 50.5% odds for 90°F or higher as trader consensus on model ensemble means near 91°F from dry, light south-southeasterly winds at 5-10 mph. Recent developments include May 14's breezy south winds and high clouds capping highs in the mid-90s region-wide, but a drying trend through Friday favors greater insolation; 26.5% odds on 88-89°F reflect lingering uncertainty in cloud persistence or ridge amplitude. Historical May averages near 87°F provide context, with new 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs expected overnight to sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 52%
88-89°F 27%
86-87°F 13%
84-85°F 8%
NUEVO
$22,296 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,296 Vol.
16 may 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
27%
90°F or higher
52%
90°F or higher 52%
88-89°F 27%
86-87°F 13%
84-85°F 8%
NUEVO
$22,296 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,296 Vol.
16 may 2026
71°F or below
$9,049 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,251 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,081 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,244 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,330 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$629 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$116 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$94 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$218 Vol.
13%
88-89°F
$334 Vol.
27%
90°F or higher
$325 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for the Austin area project highs in the upper 80s to 90s on Saturday, May 16, amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient diurnal heating, positioning the market-implied 50.5% odds for 90°F or higher as trader consensus on model ensemble means near 91°F from dry, light south-southeasterly winds at 5-10 mph. Recent developments include May 14's breezy south winds and high clouds capping highs in the mid-90s region-wide, but a drying trend through Friday favors greater insolation; 26.5% odds on 88-89°F reflect lingering uncertainty in cloud persistence or ridge amplitude. Historical May averages near 87°F provide context, with new 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs expected overnight to sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$22,296Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for the Austin area project highs in the upper 80s to 90s on Saturday, May 16, amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient diurnal heating, positioning the market-implied 50.5% odds for 90°F or higher as trader consensus on model ensemble means near 91°F from dry, light south-southeasterly winds at 5-10 mph. Recent developments include May 14's breezy south winds and high clouds capping highs in the mid-90s region-wide, but a drying trend through Friday favors greater insolation; 26.5% odds on 88-89°F reflect lingering uncertainty in cloud persistence or ridge amplitude. Historical May averages near 87°F provide context, with new 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs expected overnight to sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,296Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for the Austin area project highs in the upper 80s to 90s on Saturday, May 16, amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient diurnal heating, positioning the market-implied 50.5% odds for 90°F or higher as trader consensus on model ensemble means near 91°F from dry, light south-southeasterly winds at 5-10 mph. Recent developments include May 14's breezy south winds and high clouds capping highs in the mid-90s region-wide, but a drying trend through Friday favors greater insolation; 26.5% odds on 88-89°F reflect lingering uncertainty in cloud persistence or ridge amplitude. Historical May averages near 87°F provide context, with new 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs expected overnight to sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes