Latest ensemble forecasts from services like YR.no, TimeandDate, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project Moscow's May 14 high temperature clustering around 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers, driving trader consensus with 55% implied probability on 22°C and 33% on 23°C. This follows yesterday's observed 22°C peak amid a warming trend from earlier May's cooler 12–16°C highs, fueled by a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow and above-average temperatures (historical May average ~18°C). Model spreads reflect uncertainty from shower timing and cloud cover, with afternoon hourly data from official stations critical for resolution; risks of 24°C+ remain low at <13% due to potential convective activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
22°C 56%
23°C 34%
24°C 6.3%
25°C 3.4%
$35,315 Vol.
$35,315 Vol.
14 may 2026
22°C
56%
23°C
34%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 56%
23°C 34%
24°C 6.3%
25°C 3.4%
$35,315 Vol.
$35,315 Vol.
14 may 2026
22°C
$3,302 Vol.
56%
23°C
$2,303 Vol.
34%
24°C
$2,354 Vol.
6%
25°C
$3,639 Vol.
3%
26°C
$3,540 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$5,560 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from services like YR.no, TimeandDate, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project Moscow's May 14 high temperature clustering around 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers, driving trader consensus with 55% implied probability on 22°C and 33% on 23°C. This follows yesterday's observed 22°C peak amid a warming trend from earlier May's cooler 12–16°C highs, fueled by a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow and above-average temperatures (historical May average ~18°C). Model spreads reflect uncertainty from shower timing and cloud cover, with afternoon hourly data from official stations critical for resolution; risks of 24°C+ remain low at <13% due to potential convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$35,315Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from services like YR.no, TimeandDate, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project Moscow's May 14 high temperature clustering around 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers, driving trader consensus with 55% implied probability on 22°C and 33% on 23°C. This follows yesterday's observed 22°C peak amid a warming trend from earlier May's cooler 12–16°C highs, fueled by a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow and above-average temperatures (historical May average ~18°C). Model spreads reflect uncertainty from shower timing and cloud cover, with afternoon hourly data from official stations critical for resolution; risks of 24°C+ remain low at <13% due to potential convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,315Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from services like YR.no, TimeandDate, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project Moscow's May 14 high temperature clustering around 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers, driving trader consensus with 55% implied probability on 22°C and 33% on 23°C. This follows yesterday's observed 22°C peak amid a warming trend from earlier May's cooler 12–16°C highs, fueled by a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow and above-average temperatures (historical May average ~18°C). Model spreads reflect uncertainty from shower timing and cloud cover, with afternoon hourly data from official stations critical for resolution; risks of 24°C+ remain low at <13% due to potential convective activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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