Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a high-pressure ridge dominating eastern Japan on May 16, promoting clear skies and warm temperature advection into Tokyo, with consensus highs clustering at 25-27°C—mirroring trader-implied odds where 26°C (35.5%) edges 25°C (28.0%) and 27°C (21.0%). This tight spread reflects model divergences: GFS runs slightly warmer due to stronger subsidence, while ECMWF hints at afternoon sea-breeze moderation; urban heat island effects could add 1-2°C variability. Recent days' highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C under similar patterns signal an upward trend, though climatological May averages hover near 23°C. Watch JMA's evening update and tomorrow's 12z model refresh for potential shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
26°C 39%
25°C 29%
27°C 21%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
$26,426 Vol.
NUEVO
$26,426 Vol.
16 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
29%
26°C
39%
27°C
21%
28°C or higher
6%
26°C 39%
25°C 29%
27°C 21%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
$26,426 Vol.
NUEVO
$26,426 Vol.
16 may 2026
18°C or below
$3,241 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$8,560 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$6,539 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,376 Vol.
1%
23°C
$872 Vol.
2%
24°C
$774 Vol.
7%
25°C
$710 Vol.
29%
26°C
$775 Vol.
39%
27°C
$858 Vol.
21%
28°C or higher
$888 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a high-pressure ridge dominating eastern Japan on May 16, promoting clear skies and warm temperature advection into Tokyo, with consensus highs clustering at 25-27°C—mirroring trader-implied odds where 26°C (35.5%) edges 25°C (28.0%) and 27°C (21.0%). This tight spread reflects model divergences: GFS runs slightly warmer due to stronger subsidence, while ECMWF hints at afternoon sea-breeze moderation; urban heat island effects could add 1-2°C variability. Recent days' highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C under similar patterns signal an upward trend, though climatological May averages hover near 23°C. Watch JMA's evening update and tomorrow's 12z model refresh for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$26,426Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a high-pressure ridge dominating eastern Japan on May 16, promoting clear skies and warm temperature advection into Tokyo, with consensus highs clustering at 25-27°C—mirroring trader-implied odds where 26°C (35.5%) edges 25°C (28.0%) and 27°C (21.0%). This tight spread reflects model divergences: GFS runs slightly warmer due to stronger subsidence, while ECMWF hints at afternoon sea-breeze moderation; urban heat island effects could add 1-2°C variability. Recent days' highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C under similar patterns signal an upward trend, though climatological May averages hover near 23°C. Watch JMA's evening update and tomorrow's 12z model refresh for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$26,426Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a high-pressure ridge dominating eastern Japan on May 16, promoting clear skies and warm temperature advection into Tokyo, with consensus highs clustering at 25-27°C—mirroring trader-implied odds where 26°C (35.5%) edges 25°C (28.0%) and 27°C (21.0%). This tight spread reflects model divergences: GFS runs slightly warmer due to stronger subsidence, while ECMWF hints at afternoon sea-breeze moderation; urban heat island effects could add 1-2°C variability. Recent days' highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C under similar patterns signal an upward trend, though climatological May averages hover near 23°C. Watch JMA's evening update and tomorrow's 12z model refresh for potential shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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