Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.2% implied probability to a 94-95°F high at Miami International Airport today, driven by yesterday's record-tying 94°F observation amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and radiational heating. National Weather Service (NWS) guidance indicates mostly sunny conditions with highs in the lower 90s, aligning with model ensembles like GFS showing peak temperatures near 94°F under light west winds and low humidity. This exceeds the May climatological normal of 87°F during an ongoing heat episode. Realistic challenges include the 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introducing cloud cover to cap peaks at 92-93°F, with hourly observations at KMIA through sunset providing final resolution data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on May 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 14?
94-95°F 98.4%
96-97°F 1.5%
98-99°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$108,941 Vol.
$108,941 Vol.
14 may 2026
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
98%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 98.4%
96-97°F 1.5%
98-99°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$108,941 Vol.
$108,941 Vol.
14 may 2026
92-93°F
$18,587 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$18,447 Vol.
98%
96-97°F
$9,434 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$4,411 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$3,599 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$8,528 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.2% implied probability to a 94-95°F high at Miami International Airport today, driven by yesterday's record-tying 94°F observation amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and radiational heating. National Weather Service (NWS) guidance indicates mostly sunny conditions with highs in the lower 90s, aligning with model ensembles like GFS showing peak temperatures near 94°F under light west winds and low humidity. This exceeds the May climatological normal of 87°F during an ongoing heat episode. Realistic challenges include the 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introducing cloud cover to cap peaks at 92-93°F, with hourly observations at KMIA through sunset providing final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Volumen
$108,941Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.2% implied probability to a 94-95°F high at Miami International Airport today, driven by yesterday's record-tying 94°F observation amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and radiational heating. National Weather Service (NWS) guidance indicates mostly sunny conditions with highs in the lower 90s, aligning with model ensembles like GFS showing peak temperatures near 94°F under light west winds and low humidity. This exceeds the May climatological normal of 87°F during an ongoing heat episode. Realistic challenges include the 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introducing cloud cover to cap peaks at 92-93°F, with hourly observations at KMIA through sunset providing final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$108,941Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.2% implied probability to a 94-95°F high at Miami International Airport today, driven by yesterday's record-tying 94°F observation amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and radiational heating. National Weather Service (NWS) guidance indicates mostly sunny conditions with highs in the lower 90s, aligning with model ensembles like GFS showing peak temperatures near 94°F under light west winds and low humidity. This exceeds the May climatological normal of 87°F during an ongoing heat episode. Realistic challenges include the 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introducing cloud cover to cap peaks at 92-93°F, with hourly observations at KMIA through sunset providing final resolution data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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