Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 78-79°F (31%) over 80-81°F (29%) for Denver's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles converging on late-70s to low-80s°F peaks amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes subsidence inversion, clear skies, and efficient solar heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, where dry soils from below-normal spring precipitation amplify diurnal temperature ranges. Key differentiators include model spreads on afternoon cumulus cloudiness and light southerly winds, which could shave 1-2°F off peaks if thicker; historical mid-May averages hover near 73°F, underscoring the above-normal outlook. Updated 00z runs and NWS advisories expected within 48 hours may sharpen resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
78-79°F 29%
80-81°F 29%
82-83°F 15%
76-77°F 13%
NUEVO
$13,373 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,373 Vol.
16 may 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
15%
84°F or higher
5%
78-79°F 29%
80-81°F 29%
82-83°F 15%
76-77°F 13%
NUEVO
$13,373 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,373 Vol.
16 may 2026
65°F or below
$9,358 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$542 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$439 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$524 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$691 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$337 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$181 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$181 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$319 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$352 Vol.
15%
84°F or higher
$480 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 78-79°F (31%) over 80-81°F (29%) for Denver's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles converging on late-70s to low-80s°F peaks amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes subsidence inversion, clear skies, and efficient solar heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, where dry soils from below-normal spring precipitation amplify diurnal temperature ranges. Key differentiators include model spreads on afternoon cumulus cloudiness and light southerly winds, which could shave 1-2°F off peaks if thicker; historical mid-May averages hover near 73°F, underscoring the above-normal outlook. Updated 00z runs and NWS advisories expected within 48 hours may sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$13,373Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 78-79°F (31%) over 80-81°F (29%) for Denver's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles converging on late-70s to low-80s°F peaks amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes subsidence inversion, clear skies, and efficient solar heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, where dry soils from below-normal spring precipitation amplify diurnal temperature ranges. Key differentiators include model spreads on afternoon cumulus cloudiness and light southerly winds, which could shave 1-2°F off peaks if thicker; historical mid-May averages hover near 73°F, underscoring the above-normal outlook. Updated 00z runs and NWS advisories expected within 48 hours may sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,373Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 78-79°F (31%) over 80-81°F (29%) for Denver's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles converging on late-70s to low-80s°F peaks amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes subsidence inversion, clear skies, and efficient solar heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, where dry soils from below-normal spring precipitation amplify diurnal temperature ranges. Key differentiators include model spreads on afternoon cumulus cloudiness and light southerly winds, which could shave 1-2°F off peaks if thicker; historical mid-May averages hover near 73°F, underscoring the above-normal outlook. Updated 00z runs and NWS advisories expected within 48 hours may sharpen resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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