National Weather Service short-range guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models center Seattle's May 14 high temperature near 59-61°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), aligning trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability for 58-59°F and 31% for 60-61°F. This positioning follows a dramatic cooldown from May 12's record 82°F high, driven by weakening upper-level ridge enabling persistent onshore flow that advects cool marine air and marine stratus clouds across Puget Sound, capping daytime insolation even if clouds partially dissipate by midday. Amid May climatology averaging 66°F highs, uncertainty hinges on stratus burn-off timing—prolonged overcast could trim peaks to 56-58°F—while real-time HRRR updates and afternoon KSEA observations will sharpen market odds before daily resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
58-59°F 44%
60-61°F 31%
56-57°F 10%
62-63°F 9%
$44,639 Vol.
$44,639 Vol.
14 may 2026
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
43%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 44%
60-61°F 31%
56-57°F 10%
62-63°F 9%
$44,639 Vol.
$44,639 Vol.
14 may 2026
55°F or below
$9,514 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$7,114 Vol.
10%
58-59°F
$4,149 Vol.
43%
60-61°F
$4,639 Vol.
31%
62-63°F
$4,502 Vol.
9%
64-65°F
$3,403 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$2,638 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,965 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,391 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,044 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$2,280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service short-range guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models center Seattle's May 14 high temperature near 59-61°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), aligning trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability for 58-59°F and 31% for 60-61°F. This positioning follows a dramatic cooldown from May 12's record 82°F high, driven by weakening upper-level ridge enabling persistent onshore flow that advects cool marine air and marine stratus clouds across Puget Sound, capping daytime insolation even if clouds partially dissipate by midday. Amid May climatology averaging 66°F highs, uncertainty hinges on stratus burn-off timing—prolonged overcast could trim peaks to 56-58°F—while real-time HRRR updates and afternoon KSEA observations will sharpen market odds before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$44,639Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service short-range guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models center Seattle's May 14 high temperature near 59-61°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), aligning trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability for 58-59°F and 31% for 60-61°F. This positioning follows a dramatic cooldown from May 12's record 82°F high, driven by weakening upper-level ridge enabling persistent onshore flow that advects cool marine air and marine stratus clouds across Puget Sound, capping daytime insolation even if clouds partially dissipate by midday. Amid May climatology averaging 66°F highs, uncertainty hinges on stratus burn-off timing—prolonged overcast could trim peaks to 56-58°F—while real-time HRRR updates and afternoon KSEA observations will sharpen market odds before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,639Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service short-range guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models center Seattle's May 14 high temperature near 59-61°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), aligning trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability for 58-59°F and 31% for 60-61°F. This positioning follows a dramatic cooldown from May 12's record 82°F high, driven by weakening upper-level ridge enabling persistent onshore flow that advects cool marine air and marine stratus clouds across Puget Sound, capping daytime insolation even if clouds partially dissipate by midday. Amid May climatology averaging 66°F highs, uncertainty hinges on stratus burn-off timing—prolonged overcast could trim peaks to 56-58°F—while real-time HRRR updates and afternoon KSEA observations will sharpen market odds before daily resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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