Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models such as ECMWF and GFS project a maximum temperature of 22°C in Cape Town on May 16, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate southeasterly winds that limit daytime heating during late autumn. These conditions align with climatological averages for the period, where daily highs typically range 18–23°C without significant warm advection. Market-implied odds near 100% for 22°C reflect this model consensus, though small adjustments could arise from localized sea-breeze effects or minor forecast revisions before final observations are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$35,681 Vol.
$35,681 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$35,681 Vol.
$35,681 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models such as ECMWF and GFS project a maximum temperature of 22°C in Cape Town on May 16, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate southeasterly winds that limit daytime heating during late autumn. These conditions align with climatological averages for the period, where daily highs typically range 18–23°C without significant warm advection. Market-implied odds near 100% for 22°C reflect this model consensus, though small adjustments could arise from localized sea-breeze effects or minor forecast revisions before final observations are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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