Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Shanghai’s May 16 maximum near 26°C beneath a persistent high-pressure ridge and steady northerly flow that has kept recent readings slightly below the typical mid-May climatological range of 25–27°C. Observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport show yesterday’s peak near 24°C amid decreasing cloud cover and light winds, reinforcing trader consensus on this narrow band. Sea-breeze incursions or any late-day convective heating represent the primary variables that could realistically push readings to 27°C or higher, though ensemble agreement remains tight and historical analogs for the date favor outcomes clustered at or below 26°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
26°C 99.3%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
28°C <1%
$126,115 Vol.
$126,115 Vol.
16 may 2026
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.3%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
28°C <1%
$126,115 Vol.
$126,115 Vol.
16 may 2026
25°C
$35,919 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11,363 Vol.
99%
27°C
$9,285 Vol.
1%
28°C
$12,346 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,483 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,803 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$3,876 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Shanghai’s May 16 maximum near 26°C beneath a persistent high-pressure ridge and steady northerly flow that has kept recent readings slightly below the typical mid-May climatological range of 25–27°C. Observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport show yesterday’s peak near 24°C amid decreasing cloud cover and light winds, reinforcing trader consensus on this narrow band. Sea-breeze incursions or any late-day convective heating represent the primary variables that could realistically push readings to 27°C or higher, though ensemble agreement remains tight and historical analogs for the date favor outcomes clustered at or below 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$126,115Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Shanghai’s May 16 maximum near 26°C beneath a persistent high-pressure ridge and steady northerly flow that has kept recent readings slightly below the typical mid-May climatological range of 25–27°C. Observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport show yesterday’s peak near 24°C amid decreasing cloud cover and light winds, reinforcing trader consensus on this narrow band. Sea-breeze incursions or any late-day convective heating represent the primary variables that could realistically push readings to 27°C or higher, though ensemble agreement remains tight and historical analogs for the date favor outcomes clustered at or below 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$126,115Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Shanghai’s May 16 maximum near 26°C beneath a persistent high-pressure ridge and steady northerly flow that has kept recent readings slightly below the typical mid-May climatological range of 25–27°C. Observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport show yesterday’s peak near 24°C amid decreasing cloud cover and light winds, reinforcing trader consensus on this narrow band. Sea-breeze incursions or any late-day convective heating represent the primary variables that could realistically push readings to 27°C or higher, though ensemble agreement remains tight and historical analogs for the date favor outcomes clustered at or below 26°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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