Latest ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) models places Shanghai’s May 17 maximum temperature squarely in the 26–27 °C range, producing the tightest market clustering between those two outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging and northerly flow are suppressing stronger daytime heating while limiting cloud cover, keeping values near the mid-May climatological norm of 24–27 °C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing create the modest spread that separates the leading probabilities, with 26 °C currently favored due to slightly greater ensemble agreement. Official readings from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will resolve the market once the day’s peak is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 17 de mayo?
26°C 41%
27°C 31%
25°C 13%
28°C 12%
NUEVO
$16,821 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,821 Vol.
17 may 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C
41%
27°C
31%
28°C
12%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
26°C 41%
27°C 31%
25°C 13%
28°C 12%
NUEVO
$16,821 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,821 Vol.
17 may 2026
21°C o menos
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,087 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,784 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,526 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,279 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,554 Vol.
41%
27°C
$1,111 Vol.
31%
28°C
$685 Vol.
12%
29°C
$1,332 Vol.
4%
30°C
$519 Vol.
1%
31°C o más
$873 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) models places Shanghai’s May 17 maximum temperature squarely in the 26–27 °C range, producing the tightest market clustering between those two outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging and northerly flow are suppressing stronger daytime heating while limiting cloud cover, keeping values near the mid-May climatological norm of 24–27 °C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing create the modest spread that separates the leading probabilities, with 26 °C currently favored due to slightly greater ensemble agreement. Official readings from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will resolve the market once the day’s peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$16,821Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) models places Shanghai’s May 17 maximum temperature squarely in the 26–27 °C range, producing the tightest market clustering between those two outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging and northerly flow are suppressing stronger daytime heating while limiting cloud cover, keeping values near the mid-May climatological norm of 24–27 °C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing create the modest spread that separates the leading probabilities, with 26 °C currently favored due to slightly greater ensemble agreement. Official readings from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will resolve the market once the day’s peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,821Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) models places Shanghai’s May 17 maximum temperature squarely in the 26–27 °C range, producing the tightest market clustering between those two outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging and northerly flow are suppressing stronger daytime heating while limiting cloud cover, keeping values near the mid-May climatological norm of 24–27 °C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing create the modest spread that separates the leading probabilities, with 26 °C currently favored due to slightly greater ensemble agreement. Official readings from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will resolve the market once the day’s peak is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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