Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Hong Kong under typical late-spring subtropical conditions on May 20, with overnight lows most likely settling between 24–27 °C at the official Hong Kong Observatory site. A weak easterly flow and moderate humidity levels are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any scattered showers could further moderate the minimum by a degree or two. Historical May climatology places the average low near 24 °C, and the seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures through the period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27 °C. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in these odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 20 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 20 de mayo?
25°C 34%
24°C 27%
27°C 24%
26°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 may 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
27%
25°C
21%
26°C
19%
27°C
24%
28°C
7%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superior
1%
25°C 34%
24°C 27%
27°C 24%
26°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 may 2026
20°C o menos
$356 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$302 Vol.
3%
22°C
$292 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$12 Vol.
21%
26°C
$6 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$834 Vol.
<1%
30°C o superior
$580 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Hong Kong under typical late-spring subtropical conditions on May 20, with overnight lows most likely settling between 24–27 °C at the official Hong Kong Observatory site. A weak easterly flow and moderate humidity levels are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any scattered showers could further moderate the minimum by a degree or two. Historical May climatology places the average low near 24 °C, and the seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures through the period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27 °C. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,381Fecha de finalización
20 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Hong Kong under typical late-spring subtropical conditions on May 20, with overnight lows most likely settling between 24–27 °C at the official Hong Kong Observatory site. A weak easterly flow and moderate humidity levels are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any scattered showers could further moderate the minimum by a degree or two. Historical May climatology places the average low near 24 °C, and the seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures through the period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27 °C. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,381Fecha de finalización
20 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from regional models show Hong Kong under typical late-spring subtropical conditions on May 20, with overnight lows most likely settling between 24–27 °C at the official Hong Kong Observatory site. A weak easterly flow and moderate humidity levels are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any scattered showers could further moderate the minimum by a degree or two. Historical May climatology places the average low near 24 °C, and the seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures through the period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27 °C. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in these odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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