Current measurements from São Paulo’s official meteorological network confirm a daytime maximum of 27 °C on May 16, locking in the market-implied outcome at 100 %. This value sits slightly above the May climatological average high of 22–24 °C but remains well within the historical envelope for late-autumn days influenced by a transient high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed greater solar heating. National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) station data, corroborated by nearby airport observations, show no readings exceeding 27 °C through the peak afternoon hours, while model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts had already converged on this exact ceiling 24 hours earlier. Only an improbable post-hoc revision of the official record or an undetected sensor malfunction could reopen the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 16 de mayo?
27°C 100.0%
19°C o menos <1%
25°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,568 Vol.
$86,568 Vol.
19°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
27°C 100.0%
19°C o menos <1%
25°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,568 Vol.
$86,568 Vol.
19°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current measurements from São Paulo’s official meteorological network confirm a daytime maximum of 27 °C on May 16, locking in the market-implied outcome at 100 %. This value sits slightly above the May climatological average high of 22–24 °C but remains well within the historical envelope for late-autumn days influenced by a transient high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed greater solar heating. National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) station data, corroborated by nearby airport observations, show no readings exceeding 27 °C through the peak afternoon hours, while model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts had already converged on this exact ceiling 24 hours earlier. Only an improbable post-hoc revision of the official record or an undetected sensor malfunction could reopen the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes