The latest forecast from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) projects a maximum temperature of 23°C for São Paulo on May 17, amid mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward the 23°C or higher outcome at 74.5% implied probability. This aligns with global model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, influenced by persistent high-pressure systems steering mild southerly flows typical of autumn in southeastern Brazil, where climatological May highs average 23-24°C. Recent days have seen actual highs around 24-25°C, supporting expectations of reaching or exceeding the threshold despite cloud-induced suppression risks. Watch for INMET's May 16 update, as shifts in convective activity could refine probabilities near resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 17 de mayo?
23°C or higher 29%
22°C 28%
21°C 25%
20°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
22%
21°C
25%
22°C
28%
23°C or higher
29%
23°C or higher 29%
22°C 28%
21°C 25%
20°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
13°C or below
$105 Vol.
1%
14°C
$80 Vol.
1%
15°C
$61 Vol.
1%
16°C
$71 Vol.
1%
17°C
$70 Vol.
1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
3%
19°C
$10 Vol.
7%
20°C
$37 Vol.
22%
21°C
$25 Vol.
25%
22°C
$154 Vol.
28%
23°C or higher
$193 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) projects a maximum temperature of 23°C for São Paulo on May 17, amid mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward the 23°C or higher outcome at 74.5% implied probability. This aligns with global model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, influenced by persistent high-pressure systems steering mild southerly flows typical of autumn in southeastern Brazil, where climatological May highs average 23-24°C. Recent days have seen actual highs around 24-25°C, supporting expectations of reaching or exceeding the threshold despite cloud-induced suppression risks. Watch for INMET's May 16 update, as shifts in convective activity could refine probabilities near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$817Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) projects a maximum temperature of 23°C for São Paulo on May 17, amid mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward the 23°C or higher outcome at 74.5% implied probability. This aligns with global model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, influenced by persistent high-pressure systems steering mild southerly flows typical of autumn in southeastern Brazil, where climatological May highs average 23-24°C. Recent days have seen actual highs around 24-25°C, supporting expectations of reaching or exceeding the threshold despite cloud-induced suppression risks. Watch for INMET's May 16 update, as shifts in convective activity could refine probabilities near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$817Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThe latest forecast from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) projects a maximum temperature of 23°C for São Paulo on May 17, amid mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward the 23°C or higher outcome at 74.5% implied probability. This aligns with global model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, influenced by persistent high-pressure systems steering mild southerly flows typical of autumn in southeastern Brazil, where climatological May highs average 23-24°C. Recent days have seen actual highs around 24-25°C, supporting expectations of reaching or exceeding the threshold despite cloud-induced suppression risks. Watch for INMET's May 16 update, as shifts in convective activity could refine probabilities near resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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