Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 20°C or below at 36.5% for São Paulo on May 15, reflecting latest forecasts from INMET and Climatempo projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and high humidity limiting solar insolation. A recent cold front has ushered in cooler autumn air masses from southern Brazil, following sharp drops like 10°C minima earlier this week, while advancing instability—marked by low-pressure areas—suppresses peak heating, as seen in model consensus for persistent cloud cover through afternoon hours. Historical May averages hover around 22°C, but current conditions favor the lower end; official measurements at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport will resolve, with hourly observations potentially shifting odds as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 15 de mayo?
20°C o menos 36%
22°C 25%
23°C 23%
21°C 17%
$34,777 Vol.
$34,777 Vol.
15 may 2026
20°C o menos
36%
21°C
17%
22°C
25%
23°C
23%
24°C
5%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
20°C o menos 36%
22°C 25%
23°C 23%
21°C 17%
$34,777 Vol.
$34,777 Vol.
15 may 2026
20°C o menos
$6,161 Vol.
36%
21°C
$3,630 Vol.
17%
22°C
$4,429 Vol.
25%
23°C
$3,928 Vol.
23%
24°C
$2,877 Vol.
5%
25°C
$4,411 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,563 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,449 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,894 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$812 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$1,623 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 20°C or below at 36.5% for São Paulo on May 15, reflecting latest forecasts from INMET and Climatempo projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and high humidity limiting solar insolation. A recent cold front has ushered in cooler autumn air masses from southern Brazil, following sharp drops like 10°C minima earlier this week, while advancing instability—marked by low-pressure areas—suppresses peak heating, as seen in model consensus for persistent cloud cover through afternoon hours. Historical May averages hover around 22°C, but current conditions favor the lower end; official measurements at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport will resolve, with hourly observations potentially shifting odds as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$34,777Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 20°C or below at 36.5% for São Paulo on May 15, reflecting latest forecasts from INMET and Climatempo projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and high humidity limiting solar insolation. A recent cold front has ushered in cooler autumn air masses from southern Brazil, following sharp drops like 10°C minima earlier this week, while advancing instability—marked by low-pressure areas—suppresses peak heating, as seen in model consensus for persistent cloud cover through afternoon hours. Historical May averages hover around 22°C, but current conditions favor the lower end; official measurements at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport will resolve, with hourly observations potentially shifting odds as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$34,777Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 20°C or below at 36.5% for São Paulo on May 15, reflecting latest forecasts from INMET and Climatempo projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and high humidity limiting solar insolation. A recent cold front has ushered in cooler autumn air masses from southern Brazil, following sharp drops like 10°C minima earlier this week, while advancing instability—marked by low-pressure areas—suppresses peak heating, as seen in model consensus for persistent cloud cover through afternoon hours. Historical May averages hover around 22°C, but current conditions favor the lower end; official measurements at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport will resolve, with hourly observations potentially shifting odds as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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