Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 19 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 19 de mayo?
73°F o menos 40%
76-77°F 25%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 may 2026
73°F o menos
40%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
1%
92°F o más
<1%
73°F o menos 40%
76-77°F 25%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 may 2026
73°F o menos
$0 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
14%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$296 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$271 Vol.
1%
92°F o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$587Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$587Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIATrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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