Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F (52%) or 76-77°F (36%) in Miami on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of an overnight low around 75°F under mostly clear skies and light west winds of 3-5 mph, which promote radiational cooling without excessive mixing. Recent AccuWeather monthly outlooks for May 2026 reinforce this, projecting overnight lows between 74°F and 78°F amid persistent warm high-pressure ridging that has kept early May daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s°F, limiting cold air advection. Historical May averages at Miami International Airport hover around 75-77°F for lows, with current conditions—dew points near 70°F and minimal cloud cover—positioning mid-70s as the market-implied outcome. Updated hourly forecasts from NOAA later today could refine probabilities as observations accumulate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 33%
72-73°F 13%
70-71°F 4.2%
$12,813 Vol.
$12,813 Vol.
15 may 2026
67°F o menos
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
<1%
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 33%
72-73°F 13%
70-71°F 4.2%
$12,813 Vol.
$12,813 Vol.
15 may 2026
67°F o menos
$616 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$109 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$399 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$201 Vol.
21%
74-75°F
$219 Vol.
41%
76-77°F
$420 Vol.
34%
78-79°F
$2,052 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F (52%) or 76-77°F (36%) in Miami on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of an overnight low around 75°F under mostly clear skies and light west winds of 3-5 mph, which promote radiational cooling without excessive mixing. Recent AccuWeather monthly outlooks for May 2026 reinforce this, projecting overnight lows between 74°F and 78°F amid persistent warm high-pressure ridging that has kept early May daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s°F, limiting cold air advection. Historical May averages at Miami International Airport hover around 75-77°F for lows, with current conditions—dew points near 70°F and minimal cloud cover—positioning mid-70s as the market-implied outcome. Updated hourly forecasts from NOAA later today could refine probabilities as observations accumulate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volumen
$12,813Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F (52%) or 76-77°F (36%) in Miami on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of an overnight low around 75°F under mostly clear skies and light west winds of 3-5 mph, which promote radiational cooling without excessive mixing. Recent AccuWeather monthly outlooks for May 2026 reinforce this, projecting overnight lows between 74°F and 78°F amid persistent warm high-pressure ridging that has kept early May daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s°F, limiting cold air advection. Historical May averages at Miami International Airport hover around 75-77°F for lows, with current conditions—dew points near 70°F and minimal cloud cover—positioning mid-70s as the market-implied outcome. Updated hourly forecasts from NOAA later today could refine probabilities as observations accumulate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,813Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F (52%) or 76-77°F (36%) in Miami on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of an overnight low around 75°F under mostly clear skies and light west winds of 3-5 mph, which promote radiational cooling without excessive mixing. Recent AccuWeather monthly outlooks for May 2026 reinforce this, projecting overnight lows between 74°F and 78°F amid persistent warm high-pressure ridging that has kept early May daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s°F, limiting cold air advection. Historical May averages at Miami International Airport hover around 75-77°F for lows, with current conditions—dew points near 70°F and minimal cloud cover—positioning mid-70s as the market-implied outcome. Updated hourly forecasts from NOAA later today could refine probabilities as observations accumulate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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