Trader consensus favors 74°F or higher at 52.5% implied probability for Chicago's O'Hare high temperature on May 15, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for partly sunny conditions and highs near 71°F amid breezy south winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 30 mph, which could enhance diurnal heating after a chilly May pattern with below-normal temperatures. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for low- to mid-70s peaks under a building shortwave ridge and southerly flow drawing Gulf moisture northward, though a 20-30% chance of isolated showers introduces uncertainty that might cap intensities below 74°F. Recent overnight lows near 50°F set up strong potential rebound, with normal May 15 highs around 70°F; watch NWS hourly updates and afternoon soundings for refinements ahead of resolution via official NOAA observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
74°F or higher 54%
72-73°F 27%
70-71°F 16%
68-69°F 2.6%
NUEVO
$34,651 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,651 Vol.
15 may 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
27%
74°F or higher
54%
74°F or higher 54%
72-73°F 27%
70-71°F 16%
68-69°F 2.6%
NUEVO
$34,651 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,651 Vol.
15 may 2026
55°F or below
$9,735 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,611 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,663 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,979 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$3,582 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,847 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$3,230 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$2,147 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$1,675 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$2,133 Vol.
27%
74°F or higher
$3,118 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 74°F or higher at 52.5% implied probability for Chicago's O'Hare high temperature on May 15, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for partly sunny conditions and highs near 71°F amid breezy south winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 30 mph, which could enhance diurnal heating after a chilly May pattern with below-normal temperatures. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for low- to mid-70s peaks under a building shortwave ridge and southerly flow drawing Gulf moisture northward, though a 20-30% chance of isolated showers introduces uncertainty that might cap intensities below 74°F. Recent overnight lows near 50°F set up strong potential rebound, with normal May 15 highs around 70°F; watch NWS hourly updates and afternoon soundings for refinements ahead of resolution via official NOAA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$34,651Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 74°F or higher at 52.5% implied probability for Chicago's O'Hare high temperature on May 15, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for partly sunny conditions and highs near 71°F amid breezy south winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 30 mph, which could enhance diurnal heating after a chilly May pattern with below-normal temperatures. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for low- to mid-70s peaks under a building shortwave ridge and southerly flow drawing Gulf moisture northward, though a 20-30% chance of isolated showers introduces uncertainty that might cap intensities below 74°F. Recent overnight lows near 50°F set up strong potential rebound, with normal May 15 highs around 70°F; watch NWS hourly updates and afternoon soundings for refinements ahead of resolution via official NOAA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$34,651Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 74°F or higher at 52.5% implied probability for Chicago's O'Hare high temperature on May 15, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for partly sunny conditions and highs near 71°F amid breezy south winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 30 mph, which could enhance diurnal heating after a chilly May pattern with below-normal temperatures. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for low- to mid-70s peaks under a building shortwave ridge and southerly flow drawing Gulf moisture northward, though a 20-30% chance of isolated showers introduces uncertainty that might cap intensities below 74°F. Recent overnight lows near 50°F set up strong potential rebound, with normal May 15 highs around 70°F; watch NWS hourly updates and afternoon soundings for refinements ahead of resolution via official NOAA observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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