National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago's O'Hare International Airport indicate a high near 60°F on May 14 under sunny skies and light northeast winds, driving trader consensus to 99.7% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects high-pressure subsidence following a mid-week cooldown, with ensemble models from NOAA showing tight agreement and minimal spread below 56°F amid climatological normals of 70°F. Recent observations confirm morning temperatures already climbing past 50°F, supporting model runs. Realistic challenges include unexpected lake-effect clouds or a stalled frontal boundary introducing cooler marine air, though low-level confidence remains high as hourly METAR reports track progress toward resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 99.7%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$49,761 Vol.
$49,761 Vol.
14 may 2026
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 99.7%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$49,761 Vol.
$49,761 Vol.
14 may 2026
44-45°F
$2,188 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$2,198 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,508 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$3,207 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$4,698 Vol.
<1%
56°F or higher
$19,460 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago's O'Hare International Airport indicate a high near 60°F on May 14 under sunny skies and light northeast winds, driving trader consensus to 99.7% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects high-pressure subsidence following a mid-week cooldown, with ensemble models from NOAA showing tight agreement and minimal spread below 56°F amid climatological normals of 70°F. Recent observations confirm morning temperatures already climbing past 50°F, supporting model runs. Realistic challenges include unexpected lake-effect clouds or a stalled frontal boundary introducing cooler marine air, though low-level confidence remains high as hourly METAR reports track progress toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$49,761Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago's O'Hare International Airport indicate a high near 60°F on May 14 under sunny skies and light northeast winds, driving trader consensus to 99.7% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects high-pressure subsidence following a mid-week cooldown, with ensemble models from NOAA showing tight agreement and minimal spread below 56°F amid climatological normals of 70°F. Recent observations confirm morning temperatures already climbing past 50°F, supporting model runs. Realistic challenges include unexpected lake-effect clouds or a stalled frontal boundary introducing cooler marine air, though low-level confidence remains high as hourly METAR reports track progress toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$49,761Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago's O'Hare International Airport indicate a high near 60°F on May 14 under sunny skies and light northeast winds, driving trader consensus to 99.7% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects high-pressure subsidence following a mid-week cooldown, with ensemble models from NOAA showing tight agreement and minimal spread below 56°F amid climatological normals of 70°F. Recent observations confirm morning temperatures already climbing past 50°F, supporting model runs. Realistic challenges include unexpected lake-effect clouds or a stalled frontal boundary introducing cooler marine air, though low-level confidence remains high as hourly METAR reports track progress toward resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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