National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on May 16 point to a daily high near 74°F at Midway Airport under partly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds of 15–20 mph, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong agreement among recent GFS and ECMWF model runs, which show a Midwest upper-level ridge supporting warm southerly advection amid an established warming trend, with the prior two days already reaching 67–74°F. NOAA climatology places the May 16 normal high at 70.6°F, providing further context for the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected northward surge of cooler Canadian air or a stalled frontal boundary that could increase cloud cover and showers, though current steering patterns and low ensemble spread render sub-56°F results highly improbable; morning NWS updates will supply final guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 100.0%
$32,695 Vol.
$32,695 Vol.
16 may 2026
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 100.0%
$32,695 Vol.
$32,695 Vol.
16 may 2026
56°F or higher
$6,299 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on May 16 point to a daily high near 74°F at Midway Airport under partly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds of 15–20 mph, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong agreement among recent GFS and ECMWF model runs, which show a Midwest upper-level ridge supporting warm southerly advection amid an established warming trend, with the prior two days already reaching 67–74°F. NOAA climatology places the May 16 normal high at 70.6°F, providing further context for the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected northward surge of cooler Canadian air or a stalled frontal boundary that could increase cloud cover and showers, though current steering patterns and low ensemble spread render sub-56°F results highly improbable; morning NWS updates will supply final guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$32,695Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on May 16 point to a daily high near 74°F at Midway Airport under partly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds of 15–20 mph, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong agreement among recent GFS and ECMWF model runs, which show a Midwest upper-level ridge supporting warm southerly advection amid an established warming trend, with the prior two days already reaching 67–74°F. NOAA climatology places the May 16 normal high at 70.6°F, providing further context for the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected northward surge of cooler Canadian air or a stalled frontal boundary that could increase cloud cover and showers, though current steering patterns and low ensemble spread render sub-56°F results highly improbable; morning NWS updates will supply final guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$32,695Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on May 16 point to a daily high near 74°F at Midway Airport under partly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds of 15–20 mph, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong agreement among recent GFS and ECMWF model runs, which show a Midwest upper-level ridge supporting warm southerly advection amid an established warming trend, with the prior two days already reaching 67–74°F. NOAA climatology places the May 16 normal high at 70.6°F, providing further context for the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected northward surge of cooler Canadian air or a stalled frontal boundary that could increase cloud cover and showers, though current steering patterns and low ensemble spread render sub-56°F results highly improbable; morning NWS updates will supply final guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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