Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a daily high near 28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, aligning with the market’s leading 31.5% probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows modest daytime heating limited by high humidity and southeasterly flow, while historical mid-May averages near 29°C provide context for the clustered probabilities around 27–29°C. Afternoon cloud breaks or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity are expected to cap extremes below 31°C in most runs. Official station readings at Baiyun International Airport will resolve the market at day’s end, with any unexpected clearing serving as the primary variable that could shift outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 18 de mayo?
28°C 33%
27°C 20%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
20%
28°C
33%
29°C
18%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C o más
2%
28°C 33%
27°C 20%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
22°C o menos
$754 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$133 Vol.
1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
2%
25°C
$6 Vol.
4%
26°C
$12 Vol.
7%
27°C
$53 Vol.
20%
28°C
$66 Vol.
33%
29°C
$118 Vol.
18%
30°C
$91 Vol.
12%
31°C
$147 Vol.
5%
32°C o más
$240 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a daily high near 28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, aligning with the market’s leading 31.5% probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows modest daytime heating limited by high humidity and southeasterly flow, while historical mid-May averages near 29°C provide context for the clustered probabilities around 27–29°C. Afternoon cloud breaks or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity are expected to cap extremes below 31°C in most runs. Official station readings at Baiyun International Airport will resolve the market at day’s end, with any unexpected clearing serving as the primary variable that could shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$1,854Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a daily high near 28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, aligning with the market’s leading 31.5% probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows modest daytime heating limited by high humidity and southeasterly flow, while historical mid-May averages near 29°C provide context for the clustered probabilities around 27–29°C. Afternoon cloud breaks or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity are expected to cap extremes below 31°C in most runs. Official station readings at Baiyun International Airport will resolve the market at day’s end, with any unexpected clearing serving as the primary variable that could shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,854Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a daily high near 28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, aligning with the market’s leading 31.5% probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows modest daytime heating limited by high humidity and southeasterly flow, while historical mid-May averages near 29°C provide context for the clustered probabilities around 27–29°C. Afternoon cloud breaks or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity are expected to cap extremes below 31°C in most runs. Official station readings at Baiyun International Airport will resolve the market at day’s end, with any unexpected clearing serving as the primary variable that could shift outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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