Environment Canada's latest forecast update, issued early May 15, pegs Toronto's May 16 high temperature at 22°C amid increasing cloudiness and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus with 22°C leading at 28% implied probability, closely trailed by 23°C (24.5%) and 21°C (18.5%). This tight clustering reflects model consensus from GEM and GFS ensembles showing highs in the 21-23°C range, tempered by variable cloud cover that could limit solar insolation and gusty southwest winds aiding boundary layer mixing but risking shower development capping peaks. Overnight lows near 6°C signal a warming trend from recent cool air, though timing of precipitation remains the key differentiator—earlier showers favor 21°C, while delayed clearing boosts 23°C. Watch afternoon hourly observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport for resolution clues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
22°C 28%
23°C 24%
21°C 21%
20°C 13%
NUEVO
$15,907 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,907 Vol.
16 may 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
13%
21°C
21%
22°C
28%
23°C
24%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 28%
23°C 24%
21°C 21%
20°C 13%
NUEVO
$15,907 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,907 Vol.
16 may 2026
16°C or below
$3,809 Vol.
1%
17°C
$2,219 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,918 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,328 Vol.
5%
20°C
$690 Vol.
13%
21°C
$730 Vol.
21%
22°C
$731 Vol.
28%
23°C
$1,098 Vol.
24%
24°C
$1,088 Vol.
7%
25°C
$813 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$1,530 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast update, issued early May 15, pegs Toronto's May 16 high temperature at 22°C amid increasing cloudiness and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus with 22°C leading at 28% implied probability, closely trailed by 23°C (24.5%) and 21°C (18.5%). This tight clustering reflects model consensus from GEM and GFS ensembles showing highs in the 21-23°C range, tempered by variable cloud cover that could limit solar insolation and gusty southwest winds aiding boundary layer mixing but risking shower development capping peaks. Overnight lows near 6°C signal a warming trend from recent cool air, though timing of precipitation remains the key differentiator—earlier showers favor 21°C, while delayed clearing boosts 23°C. Watch afternoon hourly observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport for resolution clues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$15,907Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast update, issued early May 15, pegs Toronto's May 16 high temperature at 22°C amid increasing cloudiness and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus with 22°C leading at 28% implied probability, closely trailed by 23°C (24.5%) and 21°C (18.5%). This tight clustering reflects model consensus from GEM and GFS ensembles showing highs in the 21-23°C range, tempered by variable cloud cover that could limit solar insolation and gusty southwest winds aiding boundary layer mixing but risking shower development capping peaks. Overnight lows near 6°C signal a warming trend from recent cool air, though timing of precipitation remains the key differentiator—earlier showers favor 21°C, while delayed clearing boosts 23°C. Watch afternoon hourly observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport for resolution clues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,907Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast update, issued early May 15, pegs Toronto's May 16 high temperature at 22°C amid increasing cloudiness and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus with 22°C leading at 28% implied probability, closely trailed by 23°C (24.5%) and 21°C (18.5%). This tight clustering reflects model consensus from GEM and GFS ensembles showing highs in the 21-23°C range, tempered by variable cloud cover that could limit solar insolation and gusty southwest winds aiding boundary layer mixing but risking shower development capping peaks. Overnight lows near 6°C signal a warming trend from recent cool air, though timing of precipitation remains the key differentiator—earlier showers favor 21°C, while delayed clearing boosts 23°C. Watch afternoon hourly observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport for resolution clues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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