Trader consensus on Hong Kong's lowest temperature for May 19 clusters tightly around 24–25°C, reflecting typical late-spring conditions during the East Asian monsoon transition. Current forecast models indicate a weak pressure gradient over the South China Sea, which supports modest overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and moderate humidity. This setup keeps minimum readings near the seasonal climatological average of roughly 23–26°C, with small differences driven by subtle shifts in wind direction and moisture that affect boundary-layer temperatures. Updated runs from global and regional meteorological agencies will clarify these factors ahead of the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 19 de mayo?
24°C 25%
25°C 23%
26°C 11%
23°C 4.9%
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
22%
25°C
25%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
1%
24°C 25%
25°C 23%
26°C 11%
23°C 4.9%
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
22%
25°C
25%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Hong Kong's lowest temperature for May 19 clusters tightly around 24–25°C, reflecting typical late-spring conditions during the East Asian monsoon transition. Current forecast models indicate a weak pressure gradient over the South China Sea, which supports modest overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and moderate humidity. This setup keeps minimum readings near the seasonal climatological average of roughly 23–26°C, with small differences driven by subtle shifts in wind direction and moisture that affect boundary-layer temperatures. Updated runs from global and regional meteorological agencies will clarify these factors ahead of the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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