Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst observations and European model consensus point to a daily maximum near 13 °C in Munich on May 16, driven by a cool northerly flow advecting maritime air masses across southern Germany and widespread cloud cover that has restricted surface heating. Mid-May climatology normally supports highs of 16–18 °C, yet the current synoptic pattern—marked by a trough over central Europe—keeps temperatures 3–5 °C below average. With the market resolution window now open and real-time station data from Munich Airport accumulating, the 13 °C bracket has consolidated as the clear leader at 52 % implied probability, while adjacent 12 °C and 14 °C outcomes remain live but secondary. Any late-afternoon clearing or model revision could still shift the final reading by 1 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 67%
14°C 30%
15°C 5.5%
16°C <1%
$28,923 Vol.
$28,923 Vol.
16 may 2026
9°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
67%
14°C
30%
15°C
6%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 67%
14°C 30%
15°C 5.5%
16°C <1%
$28,923 Vol.
$28,923 Vol.
16 may 2026
9°C
$983 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,694 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$6,697 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,301 Vol.
67%
14°C
$3,333 Vol.
30%
15°C
$3,822 Vol.
6%
16°C
$4,478 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$1,743 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst observations and European model consensus point to a daily maximum near 13 °C in Munich on May 16, driven by a cool northerly flow advecting maritime air masses across southern Germany and widespread cloud cover that has restricted surface heating. Mid-May climatology normally supports highs of 16–18 °C, yet the current synoptic pattern—marked by a trough over central Europe—keeps temperatures 3–5 °C below average. With the market resolution window now open and real-time station data from Munich Airport accumulating, the 13 °C bracket has consolidated as the clear leader at 52 % implied probability, while adjacent 12 °C and 14 °C outcomes remain live but secondary. Any late-afternoon clearing or model revision could still shift the final reading by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$28,923Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst observations and European model consensus point to a daily maximum near 13 °C in Munich on May 16, driven by a cool northerly flow advecting maritime air masses across southern Germany and widespread cloud cover that has restricted surface heating. Mid-May climatology normally supports highs of 16–18 °C, yet the current synoptic pattern—marked by a trough over central Europe—keeps temperatures 3–5 °C below average. With the market resolution window now open and real-time station data from Munich Airport accumulating, the 13 °C bracket has consolidated as the clear leader at 52 % implied probability, while adjacent 12 °C and 14 °C outcomes remain live but secondary. Any late-afternoon clearing or model revision could still shift the final reading by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,923Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst observations and European model consensus point to a daily maximum near 13 °C in Munich on May 16, driven by a cool northerly flow advecting maritime air masses across southern Germany and widespread cloud cover that has restricted surface heating. Mid-May climatology normally supports highs of 16–18 °C, yet the current synoptic pattern—marked by a trough over central Europe—keeps temperatures 3–5 °C below average. With the market resolution window now open and real-time station data from Munich Airport accumulating, the 13 °C bracket has consolidated as the clear leader at 52 % implied probability, while adjacent 12 °C and 14 °C outcomes remain live but secondary. Any late-afternoon clearing or model revision could still shift the final reading by 1 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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