Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, consistent with Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance, indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Munich on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 44.5% implied probability, just below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C, as cooler Atlantic air limits surface heating. Recent observations confirm highs of 15°C on May 15 amid increased cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. Afternoon readings at the official Munich Airport station will determine resolution, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 17 de mayo?
16°C 45%
15°C 26%
17°C 22%
18°C 5%
$10,342 Vol.
$10,342 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
26%
16°C
45%
17°C
22%
18°C
5%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 45%
15°C 26%
17°C 22%
18°C 5%
$10,342 Vol.
$10,342 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
26%
16°C
45%
17°C
22%
18°C
5%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, consistent with Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance, indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Munich on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 44.5% implied probability, just below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C, as cooler Atlantic air limits surface heating. Recent observations confirm highs of 15°C on May 15 amid increased cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. Afternoon readings at the official Munich Airport station will determine resolution, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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