National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project a high temperature of 88-89°F on May 16, aligning with trader consensus at 43% implied probability for that bin, driven by persistent high pressure promoting subsidence and sunny conditions with light southeast winds. Recent observations at KMIA show May 14 highs reaching 88°F amid similar patterns, while May 15 guidance anticipates near 90°F before sea breeze convergence potentially caps peaks via isolated afternoon showers. May climatology averages 86°F, with upper-80s common under low shear; however, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2°F, introducing uncertainty. Updated NWS advisories expected midday May 16 could refine odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on May 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 44%
90-91°F 27%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 9%
$11,154 Vol.
$11,154 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 44%
90-91°F 27%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 9%
$11,154 Vol.
$11,154 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project a high temperature of 88-89°F on May 16, aligning with trader consensus at 43% implied probability for that bin, driven by persistent high pressure promoting subsidence and sunny conditions with light southeast winds. Recent observations at KMIA show May 14 highs reaching 88°F amid similar patterns, while May 15 guidance anticipates near 90°F before sea breeze convergence potentially caps peaks via isolated afternoon showers. May climatology averages 86°F, with upper-80s common under low shear; however, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2°F, introducing uncertainty. Updated NWS advisories expected midday May 16 could refine odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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