Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a high likelihood of Houston’s maximum temperature reaching or exceeding 86°F on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow, above-average Gulf moisture, and strong May solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Climatologically, mid-May normals near 87°F, and current conditions show no significant cold-front passage or widespread cloud cover that would suppress highs. Traders have priced the 86°F-or-higher outcome at nearly 90 percent because latest runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts keep afternoon readings in the mid-to-upper 80s, with only modest uncertainty from possible scattered showers late in the day. Final hourly observations tomorrow evening will determine resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 17 de mayo?
86°F or higher 90.0%
84-85°F 8%
82-83°F 2.6%
80-81°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
8%
86°F or higher
90%
86°F or higher 90.0%
84-85°F 8%
82-83°F 2.6%
80-81°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
67°F or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,053 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,678 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$366 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$340 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$47 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$620 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$128 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$390 Vol.
8%
86°F or higher
$277 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a high likelihood of Houston’s maximum temperature reaching or exceeding 86°F on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow, above-average Gulf moisture, and strong May solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Climatologically, mid-May normals near 87°F, and current conditions show no significant cold-front passage or widespread cloud cover that would suppress highs. Traders have priced the 86°F-or-higher outcome at nearly 90 percent because latest runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts keep afternoon readings in the mid-to-upper 80s, with only modest uncertainty from possible scattered showers late in the day. Final hourly observations tomorrow evening will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$6,489Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a high likelihood of Houston’s maximum temperature reaching or exceeding 86°F on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow, above-average Gulf moisture, and strong May solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Climatologically, mid-May normals near 87°F, and current conditions show no significant cold-front passage or widespread cloud cover that would suppress highs. Traders have priced the 86°F-or-higher outcome at nearly 90 percent because latest runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts keep afternoon readings in the mid-to-upper 80s, with only modest uncertainty from possible scattered showers late in the day. Final hourly observations tomorrow evening will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,489Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOURecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a high likelihood of Houston’s maximum temperature reaching or exceeding 86°F on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow, above-average Gulf moisture, and strong May solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Climatologically, mid-May normals near 87°F, and current conditions show no significant cold-front passage or widespread cloud cover that would suppress highs. Traders have priced the 86°F-or-higher outcome at nearly 90 percent because latest runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts keep afternoon readings in the mid-to-upper 80s, with only modest uncertainty from possible scattered showers late in the day. Final hourly observations tomorrow evening will determine resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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