Trader consensus favors a high of 27°C at 31% implied probability for Shenzhen on May 16, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast guidance projecting peak temperatures near that mark amid heavy rain and patchy cloud cover expected from a developing low-pressure system. High humidity around 80% and southerly sea breezes will moderate daytime heating, keeping outcomes clustered tightly between 26°C (19%) and 28°C (26.5%), below the mid-May climatological average of 29°C. Ensemble models exhibit spread due to uncertainties in rainfall timing and intensity, with partial clearing potentially pushing toward 28-29°C or persistent showers capping at 26°C. Key updates from morning soundings and 12Z forecasts could sharpen these odds before resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?
27°C 36%
26°C 25%
28°C 21%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
25%
27°C
36%
28°C
21%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
5%
27°C 36%
26°C 25%
28°C 21%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
20°C or below
$816 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$611 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$629 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,367 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$929 Vol.
2%
25°C
$791 Vol.
3%
26°C
$542 Vol.
25%
27°C
$238 Vol.
36%
28°C
$453 Vol.
21%
29°C
$449 Vol.
10%
30°C or higher
$988 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 27°C at 31% implied probability for Shenzhen on May 16, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast guidance projecting peak temperatures near that mark amid heavy rain and patchy cloud cover expected from a developing low-pressure system. High humidity around 80% and southerly sea breezes will moderate daytime heating, keeping outcomes clustered tightly between 26°C (19%) and 28°C (26.5%), below the mid-May climatological average of 29°C. Ensemble models exhibit spread due to uncertainties in rainfall timing and intensity, with partial clearing potentially pushing toward 28-29°C or persistent showers capping at 26°C. Key updates from morning soundings and 12Z forecasts could sharpen these odds before resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$7,765Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 27°C at 31% implied probability for Shenzhen on May 16, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast guidance projecting peak temperatures near that mark amid heavy rain and patchy cloud cover expected from a developing low-pressure system. High humidity around 80% and southerly sea breezes will moderate daytime heating, keeping outcomes clustered tightly between 26°C (19%) and 28°C (26.5%), below the mid-May climatological average of 29°C. Ensemble models exhibit spread due to uncertainties in rainfall timing and intensity, with partial clearing potentially pushing toward 28-29°C or persistent showers capping at 26°C. Key updates from morning soundings and 12Z forecasts could sharpen these odds before resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,765Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 27°C at 31% implied probability for Shenzhen on May 16, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast guidance projecting peak temperatures near that mark amid heavy rain and patchy cloud cover expected from a developing low-pressure system. High humidity around 80% and southerly sea breezes will moderate daytime heating, keeping outcomes clustered tightly between 26°C (19%) and 28°C (26.5%), below the mid-May climatological average of 29°C. Ensemble models exhibit spread due to uncertainties in rainfall timing and intensity, with partial clearing potentially pushing toward 28-29°C or persistent showers capping at 26°C. Key updates from morning soundings and 12Z forecasts could sharpen these odds before resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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