Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong warming trend for San Francisco on May 17, driven by offshore flow, clear skies, and a suppressed marine layer, which supports the 71% market-implied odds for a daily high of 68°F or higher. Recent surface observations show afternoon temperatures already climbing into the mid-60s, consistent with climatological May peaks near 67°F when high-pressure ridges dominate. Key resolution factors include the exact peak reading at official reporting stations, with traders watching the final model consensus and any late-day sea breeze that could cap the maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 17 de mayo?
68°F or higher 74%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 8%
62-63°F 1.0%
NUEVO
$12,101 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,101 Vol.
17 may 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
20%
68°F or higher
74%
68°F or higher 74%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 8%
62-63°F 1.0%
NUEVO
$12,101 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,101 Vol.
17 may 2026
49°F or below
$894 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$688 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$480 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,428 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,192 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$678 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,423 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$1,505 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$1,254 Vol.
20%
68°F or higher
$985 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong warming trend for San Francisco on May 17, driven by offshore flow, clear skies, and a suppressed marine layer, which supports the 71% market-implied odds for a daily high of 68°F or higher. Recent surface observations show afternoon temperatures already climbing into the mid-60s, consistent with climatological May peaks near 67°F when high-pressure ridges dominate. Key resolution factors include the exact peak reading at official reporting stations, with traders watching the final model consensus and any late-day sea breeze that could cap the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$12,101Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong warming trend for San Francisco on May 17, driven by offshore flow, clear skies, and a suppressed marine layer, which supports the 71% market-implied odds for a daily high of 68°F or higher. Recent surface observations show afternoon temperatures already climbing into the mid-60s, consistent with climatological May peaks near 67°F when high-pressure ridges dominate. Key resolution factors include the exact peak reading at official reporting stations, with traders watching the final model consensus and any late-day sea breeze that could cap the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,101Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOForecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong warming trend for San Francisco on May 17, driven by offshore flow, clear skies, and a suppressed marine layer, which supports the 71% market-implied odds for a daily high of 68°F or higher. Recent surface observations show afternoon temperatures already climbing into the mid-60s, consistent with climatological May peaks near 67°F when high-pressure ridges dominate. Key resolution factors include the exact peak reading at official reporting stations, with traders watching the final model consensus and any late-day sea breeze that could cap the maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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