Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 20-22°C for Ankara's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting daytime highs of 19-23°C under partly cloudy skies following recent showers on May 14 that temporarily cooled conditions to 19°C on May 15. Mid-May climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 21-22°C amid continental spring warming, though short-range uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and potential diurnally heated boundary layers. Extremes below 18°C or above 24°C carry low implied probabilities due to stable upper-level patterns lacking cold outbreaks or heat domes. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh ensemble runs on May 15 for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
21°C 38%
22°C 25%
20°C 21%
19°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
21%
21°C
38%
22°C
25%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 38%
22°C 25%
20°C 21%
19°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
14°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$199 Vol.
1%
18°C
$124 Vol.
3%
19°C
$458 Vol.
7%
20°C
$1,011 Vol.
21%
21°C
$395 Vol.
38%
22°C
$392 Vol.
25%
23°C
$122 Vol.
5%
24°C or higher
$336 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 20-22°C for Ankara's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting daytime highs of 19-23°C under partly cloudy skies following recent showers on May 14 that temporarily cooled conditions to 19°C on May 15. Mid-May climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 21-22°C amid continental spring warming, though short-range uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and potential diurnally heated boundary layers. Extremes below 18°C or above 24°C carry low implied probabilities due to stable upper-level patterns lacking cold outbreaks or heat domes. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh ensemble runs on May 15 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$3,955Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 20-22°C for Ankara's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting daytime highs of 19-23°C under partly cloudy skies following recent showers on May 14 that temporarily cooled conditions to 19°C on May 15. Mid-May climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 21-22°C amid continental spring warming, though short-range uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and potential diurnally heated boundary layers. Extremes below 18°C or above 24°C carry low implied probabilities due to stable upper-level patterns lacking cold outbreaks or heat domes. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh ensemble runs on May 15 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,955Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 20-22°C for Ankara's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting daytime highs of 19-23°C under partly cloudy skies following recent showers on May 14 that temporarily cooled conditions to 19°C on May 15. Mid-May climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 21-22°C amid continental spring warming, though short-range uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and potential diurnally heated boundary layers. Extremes below 18°C or above 24°C carry low implied probabilities due to stable upper-level patterns lacking cold outbreaks or heat domes. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh ensemble runs on May 15 for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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