Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 14 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 14 de mayo?
11°C 100.0%
4°C o menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$153,714 Vol.
$153,714 Vol.
14 may 2026
4°C o menos
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Sí
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C o más
No
11°C 100.0%
4°C o menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$153,714 Vol.
$153,714 Vol.
14 may 2026
4°C o menos
$4,362 Vol.
No
5°C
$1,345 Vol.
No
6°C
$2,630 Vol.
No
7°C
$1,530 Vol.
No
8°C
$9,692 Vol.
No
9°C
$38,286 Vol.
No
10°C
$43,001 Vol.
No
11°C
$14,611 Vol.
Sí
12°C
$14,383 Vol.
No
13°C
$9,352 Vol.
No
14°C o más
$14,523 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$153,714Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$153,714Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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