MetService New Zealand’s latest forecast for Wellington International Airport shows a daytime maximum near 13°C on May 16 under persistent southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s 97.5% implied probability on that outcome. Cool maritime air advected from higher latitudes by a high-pressure ridge over the South Island continues to limit diurnal warming, while cloud cover reduces solar heating despite May’s climatological average high of 14°C. Recent hourly observations confirm the cooling trend from earlier mid-teens readings, and stable consensus across short-range models supports minimal risk of reaching 14°C or higher. Any late-day clearing or wind shift could still push the official maximum above the current consensus, though updated guidance today is unlikely to alter the dominant positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 98.8%
14°C 1.4%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
NUEVO
$39,733 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,733 Vol.
16 may 2026
13°C
99%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 98.8%
14°C 1.4%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
NUEVO
$39,733 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,733 Vol.
16 may 2026
13°C
$7,651 Vol.
99%
14°C
$6,200 Vol.
1%
15°C
$3,701 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$3,400 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand’s latest forecast for Wellington International Airport shows a daytime maximum near 13°C on May 16 under persistent southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s 97.5% implied probability on that outcome. Cool maritime air advected from higher latitudes by a high-pressure ridge over the South Island continues to limit diurnal warming, while cloud cover reduces solar heating despite May’s climatological average high of 14°C. Recent hourly observations confirm the cooling trend from earlier mid-teens readings, and stable consensus across short-range models supports minimal risk of reaching 14°C or higher. Any late-day clearing or wind shift could still push the official maximum above the current consensus, though updated guidance today is unlikely to alter the dominant positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volumen
$39,733Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand’s latest forecast for Wellington International Airport shows a daytime maximum near 13°C on May 16 under persistent southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s 97.5% implied probability on that outcome. Cool maritime air advected from higher latitudes by a high-pressure ridge over the South Island continues to limit diurnal warming, while cloud cover reduces solar heating despite May’s climatological average high of 14°C. Recent hourly observations confirm the cooling trend from earlier mid-teens readings, and stable consensus across short-range models supports minimal risk of reaching 14°C or higher. Any late-day clearing or wind shift could still push the official maximum above the current consensus, though updated guidance today is unlikely to alter the dominant positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$39,733Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService New Zealand’s latest forecast for Wellington International Airport shows a daytime maximum near 13°C on May 16 under persistent southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s 97.5% implied probability on that outcome. Cool maritime air advected from higher latitudes by a high-pressure ridge over the South Island continues to limit diurnal warming, while cloud cover reduces solar heating despite May’s climatological average high of 14°C. Recent hourly observations confirm the cooling trend from earlier mid-teens readings, and stable consensus across short-range models supports minimal risk of reaching 14°C or higher. Any late-day clearing or wind shift could still push the official maximum above the current consensus, though updated guidance today is unlikely to alter the dominant positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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