Recent short-range forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns place Wuhan's May 18 maximum near 25–26 °C, as a weak frontal boundary brings scattered thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating. In Wuhan's subtropical climate, May highs typically climb from the mid-20s early in the month toward 27–28 °C later, but persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation from convective activity have kept consensus projections anchored in the lower half of that range. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 26 °C, with 25 °C a close second, while the slim odds for 27 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearing skies or stronger high-pressure ridging before resolution.