Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China point to a daily maximum of 27–29°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-spring patterns in the Yangtze River basin, where average May highs reach 26–28°C amid increasing humidity and the early onset of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days have shown modest day-to-day variability tied to passing frontal systems, keeping extremes outside the 25–30°C range unlikely. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28°C and 29°C because ensemble guidance remains closely matched, with any final adjustment hinging on afternoon convective development before resolution tomorrow evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 17 de mayo?
28°C 31%
29°C 29%
27°C 22%
30°C 13%
$11,351 Vol.
$11,351 Vol.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
22%
28°C
31%
29°C
29%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 31%
29°C 29%
27°C 22%
30°C 13%
$11,351 Vol.
$11,351 Vol.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
22%
28°C
31%
29°C
29%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHCurrent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China point to a daily maximum of 27–29°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-spring patterns in the Yangtze River basin, where average May highs reach 26–28°C amid increasing humidity and the early onset of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days have shown modest day-to-day variability tied to passing frontal systems, keeping extremes outside the 25–30°C range unlikely. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28°C and 29°C because ensemble guidance remains closely matched, with any final adjustment hinging on afternoon convective development before resolution tomorrow evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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