Recent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance have converged on an overnight minimum near 17 °C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This places the outcome comfortably above the climatological mid-May baseline of roughly 15 °C while remaining within the typical 1–2 °C forecast uncertainty range for the region. No significant frontal passages or moisture surges are expected to alter the pattern before dawn, keeping the 17 °C contract at the center of trader pricing. The Tokyo Metropolitan Observatory’s final recorded low will resolve the market once released.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 16 de mayo?
17°C 89%
16°C 9%
15°C 4.0%
14°C 3.4%
$30,675 Vol.
$30,675 Vol.
16 may 2026
13°C o menos
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
80%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
17°C 89%
16°C 9%
15°C 4.0%
14°C 3.4%
$30,675 Vol.
$30,675 Vol.
16 may 2026
13°C o menos
$1,123 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,826 Vol.
3%
15°C
$867 Vol.
4%
16°C
$274 Vol.
9%
17°C
$767 Vol.
80%
18°C
$1,808 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$10,504 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$11,383 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$523 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$779 Vol.
<1%
23°C o más
$839 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance have converged on an overnight minimum near 17 °C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This places the outcome comfortably above the climatological mid-May baseline of roughly 15 °C while remaining within the typical 1–2 °C forecast uncertainty range for the region. No significant frontal passages or moisture surges are expected to alter the pattern before dawn, keeping the 17 °C contract at the center of trader pricing. The Tokyo Metropolitan Observatory’s final recorded low will resolve the market once released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$30,675Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance have converged on an overnight minimum near 17 °C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This places the outcome comfortably above the climatological mid-May baseline of roughly 15 °C while remaining within the typical 1–2 °C forecast uncertainty range for the region. No significant frontal passages or moisture surges are expected to alter the pattern before dawn, keeping the 17 °C contract at the center of trader pricing. The Tokyo Metropolitan Observatory’s final recorded low will resolve the market once released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$30,675Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance have converged on an overnight minimum near 17 °C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This places the outcome comfortably above the climatological mid-May baseline of roughly 15 °C while remaining within the typical 1–2 °C forecast uncertainty range for the region. No significant frontal passages or moisture surges are expected to alter the pattern before dawn, keeping the 17 °C contract at the center of trader pricing. The Tokyo Metropolitan Observatory’s final recorded low will resolve the market once released.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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