The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest guidance and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Tokyo's lowest temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 18 near 17°C, capturing 24% trader consensus amid fragmented odds reflecting inherent short-range uncertainty in nighttime boundary layer processes. Persistent northerly winds from a weak upper trough have kept recent lows cooler than May climatology (historical mid-May average ~16°C), as seen in May 13-15 actuals around 14-17°C, but variable overnight cloud cover differentiates outcomes: partial clearing favors radiational cooling to 17°C, while thicker stratus could trap heat toward 19-20°C. JMA's next 00Z/12Z updates on May 16-17 may refine steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 18 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 18 de mayo?
17°C 22%
19°C 18%
20°C 10.7%
18°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
13°C o menos
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
25%
18°C
8%
19°C
15%
20°C
11%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C o más
2%
17°C 22%
19°C 18%
20°C 10.7%
18°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
13°C o menos
$84 Vol.
1%
14°C
$269 Vol.
1%
15°C
$39 Vol.
5%
16°C
$42 Vol.
5%
17°C
$6 Vol.
25%
18°C
$199 Vol.
8%
19°C
$54 Vol.
15%
20°C
$7 Vol.
11%
21°C
$154 Vol.
2%
22°C
$120 Vol.
1%
23°C o más
$1,372 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest guidance and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Tokyo's lowest temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 18 near 17°C, capturing 24% trader consensus amid fragmented odds reflecting inherent short-range uncertainty in nighttime boundary layer processes. Persistent northerly winds from a weak upper trough have kept recent lows cooler than May climatology (historical mid-May average ~16°C), as seen in May 13-15 actuals around 14-17°C, but variable overnight cloud cover differentiates outcomes: partial clearing favors radiational cooling to 17°C, while thicker stratus could trap heat toward 19-20°C. JMA's next 00Z/12Z updates on May 16-17 may refine steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,347Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest guidance and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Tokyo's lowest temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 18 near 17°C, capturing 24% trader consensus amid fragmented odds reflecting inherent short-range uncertainty in nighttime boundary layer processes. Persistent northerly winds from a weak upper trough have kept recent lows cooler than May climatology (historical mid-May average ~16°C), as seen in May 13-15 actuals around 14-17°C, but variable overnight cloud cover differentiates outcomes: partial clearing favors radiational cooling to 17°C, while thicker stratus could trap heat toward 19-20°C. JMA's next 00Z/12Z updates on May 16-17 may refine steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,347Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe Japan Meteorological Agency's latest guidance and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Tokyo's lowest temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 18 near 17°C, capturing 24% trader consensus amid fragmented odds reflecting inherent short-range uncertainty in nighttime boundary layer processes. Persistent northerly winds from a weak upper trough have kept recent lows cooler than May climatology (historical mid-May average ~16°C), as seen in May 13-15 actuals around 14-17°C, but variable overnight cloud cover differentiates outcomes: partial clearing favors radiational cooling to 17°C, while thicker stratus could trap heat toward 19-20°C. JMA's next 00Z/12Z updates on May 16-17 may refine steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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