The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 14°C as London's highest temperature on May 15 stems from verified Met Office observations of persistent stratiform cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northerly breezes that suppressed solar insolation and advected a cool maritime air mass across southeast England. This setup followed an early-May Arctic outbreak that left residual below-normal temperatures, with afternoon peaks at London City Airport—the designated resolution station—held near 14°C amid high humidity and minimal diurnal warming. Model runs showed limited variance once midday conditions stabilized, aligning trader positions with official data rather than climatological averages around 17–18°C. A sudden afternoon clearance allowing stronger radiative heating or a southeasterly wind shift could have nudged readings to 15°C, but no such development materialized before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on May 15?
Highest temperature in London on May 15?
14°C 100.0%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$262,941 Vol.
$262,941 Vol.
15 may 2026
8°C o menos
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$262,941 Vol.
$262,941 Vol.
15 may 2026
8°C o menos
$13,966 Vol.
No
9°C
$9,703 Vol.
No
10°C
$23,627 Vol.
No
11°C
$23,526 Vol.
No
12°C
$22,754 Vol.
No
13°C
$25,208 Vol.
No
14°C
$26,732 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$51,079 Vol.
No
16°C
$27,905 Vol.
No
17°C
$17,348 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$21,094 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 14°C as London's highest temperature on May 15 stems from verified Met Office observations of persistent stratiform cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northerly breezes that suppressed solar insolation and advected a cool maritime air mass across southeast England. This setup followed an early-May Arctic outbreak that left residual below-normal temperatures, with afternoon peaks at London City Airport—the designated resolution station—held near 14°C amid high humidity and minimal diurnal warming. Model runs showed limited variance once midday conditions stabilized, aligning trader positions with official data rather than climatological averages around 17–18°C. A sudden afternoon clearance allowing stronger radiative heating or a southeasterly wind shift could have nudged readings to 15°C, but no such development materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$262,941Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 14°C as London's highest temperature on May 15 stems from verified Met Office observations of persistent stratiform cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northerly breezes that suppressed solar insolation and advected a cool maritime air mass across southeast England. This setup followed an early-May Arctic outbreak that left residual below-normal temperatures, with afternoon peaks at London City Airport—the designated resolution station—held near 14°C amid high humidity and minimal diurnal warming. Model runs showed limited variance once midday conditions stabilized, aligning trader positions with official data rather than climatological averages around 17–18°C. A sudden afternoon clearance allowing stronger radiative heating or a southeasterly wind shift could have nudged readings to 15°C, but no such development materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$262,941Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 14°C as London's highest temperature on May 15 stems from verified Met Office observations of persistent stratiform cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northerly breezes that suppressed solar insolation and advected a cool maritime air mass across southeast England. This setup followed an early-May Arctic outbreak that left residual below-normal temperatures, with afternoon peaks at London City Airport—the designated resolution station—held near 14°C amid high humidity and minimal diurnal warming. Model runs showed limited variance once midday conditions stabilized, aligning trader positions with official data rather than climatological averages around 17–18°C. A sudden afternoon clearance allowing stronger radiative heating or a southeasterly wind shift could have nudged readings to 15°C, but no such development materialized before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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