Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Milan's highest temperature at Malpensa Airport station today, with 14°C leading at 39% implied probability amid forecasts clustering at 13–15°C. AccuWeather and regional models like those from ARPA Lombardia project a daytime high of 15°C under considerable morning cloudiness and showers transitioning to partial clearing, but 100% precipitation chance and ENE winds at 13 km/h from an unstable trough suppress insolation and cap warming. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS runs—prolonged overcast favors 13–14°C, while afternoon sun breaks could nudge toward 15°C—against May climatological norms of 22°C. Monitor hourly METAR observations at LIMC for peak shifts before evening cooldown.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
14°C 39%
15°C 27%
13°C 26.1%
16°C 8%
$44,529 Vol.
$44,529 Vol.
15 may 2026
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
26%
14°C
39%
15°C
27%
16°C
8%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 39%
15°C 27%
13°C 26.1%
16°C 8%
$44,529 Vol.
$44,529 Vol.
15 may 2026
10°C
$5,544 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,976 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,571 Vol.
4%
13°C
$4,106 Vol.
26%
14°C
$3,801 Vol.
39%
15°C
$3,365 Vol.
27%
16°C
$3,592 Vol.
8%
17°C
$5,828 Vol.
1%
18°C
$5,574 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$6,463 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Milan's highest temperature at Malpensa Airport station today, with 14°C leading at 39% implied probability amid forecasts clustering at 13–15°C. AccuWeather and regional models like those from ARPA Lombardia project a daytime high of 15°C under considerable morning cloudiness and showers transitioning to partial clearing, but 100% precipitation chance and ENE winds at 13 km/h from an unstable trough suppress insolation and cap warming. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS runs—prolonged overcast favors 13–14°C, while afternoon sun breaks could nudge toward 15°C—against May climatological norms of 22°C. Monitor hourly METAR observations at LIMC for peak shifts before evening cooldown.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$44,529Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Milan's highest temperature at Malpensa Airport station today, with 14°C leading at 39% implied probability amid forecasts clustering at 13–15°C. AccuWeather and regional models like those from ARPA Lombardia project a daytime high of 15°C under considerable morning cloudiness and showers transitioning to partial clearing, but 100% precipitation chance and ENE winds at 13 km/h from an unstable trough suppress insolation and cap warming. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS runs—prolonged overcast favors 13–14°C, while afternoon sun breaks could nudge toward 15°C—against May climatological norms of 22°C. Monitor hourly METAR observations at LIMC for peak shifts before evening cooldown.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,529Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Milan's highest temperature at Malpensa Airport station today, with 14°C leading at 39% implied probability amid forecasts clustering at 13–15°C. AccuWeather and regional models like those from ARPA Lombardia project a daytime high of 15°C under considerable morning cloudiness and showers transitioning to partial clearing, but 100% precipitation chance and ENE winds at 13 km/h from an unstable trough suppress insolation and cap warming. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS runs—prolonged overcast favors 13–14°C, while afternoon sun breaks could nudge toward 15°C—against May climatological norms of 22°C. Monitor hourly METAR observations at LIMC for peak shifts before evening cooldown.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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