Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 17 de mayo?
22°C 37%
21°C 30%
23°C 21%
20°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
30%
22°C
37%
23°C
21%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 37%
21°C 30%
23°C 21%
20°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
15°C or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$543 Vol.
1%
19°C
$72 Vol.
4%
20°C
$367 Vol.
8%
21°C
$445 Vol.
30%
22°C
$311 Vol.
37%
23°C
$274 Vol.
21%
24°C
$480 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$345 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$3,447Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,447Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 20-23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 22°C and explaining the closely matched trader sentiment across these outcomes. Model spread stems from uncertainties in scattered cloud cover and light southerly winds, with cooler members anticipating partial overcast reducing insolation to near 19-20°C, while clearer scenarios favor 22-23°C peaks. Italian Aeronautica Militare updates confirm stable mild conditions following recent frontal passages, though daily 12z runs could shift implied probabilities as resolution nears. Historical May 17 highs rarely exceed 25°C, capping tail risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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