Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on May 15?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 15?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,570 Vol.
$94,570 Vol.
15 may 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,570 Vol.
$94,570 Vol.
15 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,651 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,417 Vol.
No
25°C
$897 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,094 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,767 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,878 Vol.
No
29°C
$27,748 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$19,991 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,095 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,263 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$11,770 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$94,570Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$94,570Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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