Current PAGASA forecasts project a Metro Manila high near 33–35°C on May 17 under the influence of a dissipating low-pressure area and strengthening high-pressure ridge, yielding partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers that limit peak solar heating. This consensus, aligned with May climatology averages of 33–36°C, explains the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C outcomes, where traders weigh model runs showing modest wind shifts and variable cloud cover that could nudge the official Science Garden reading slightly higher or lower. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded by PAGASA instrumentation, with any late-day clearing potentially elevating readings toward the upper end of the favored range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 17 de mayo?
35°C 42%
34°C 36%
33°C 13%
36°C 1.8%
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
13%
34°C
36%
35°C
44%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C o más
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 36%
33°C 13%
36°C 1.8%
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
13%
34°C
36%
35°C
44%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLCurrent PAGASA forecasts project a Metro Manila high near 33–35°C on May 17 under the influence of a dissipating low-pressure area and strengthening high-pressure ridge, yielding partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers that limit peak solar heating. This consensus, aligned with May climatology averages of 33–36°C, explains the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C outcomes, where traders weigh model runs showing modest wind shifts and variable cloud cover that could nudge the official Science Garden reading slightly higher or lower. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded by PAGASA instrumentation, with any late-day clearing potentially elevating readings toward the upper end of the favored range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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