Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) point to a daytime high of 17°C at Esenboğa International Airport on May 15, amid expected thunderstorms and showers that limit solar heating, fueling trader sentiment for the tightly contested 17°C (35.5%) and 18°C (32.0%) outcomes. Persistent northerly airflow from an early May cold outbreak has kept recent highs below seasonal norms of 20-21°C, with overnight lows near 10-12°C providing a cool baseline. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread around 17-18°C, but uncertainty persists in cloud timing and convective activity, which could cap peaks at 17°C or allow brief clearing to 18°C. Airport station observations will resolve the market, with final 12z updates expected today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
17°C 44%
18°C 32%
16°C 12%
19°C 10%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
44%
18°C
32%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 44%
18°C 32%
16°C 12%
19°C 10%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
44%
18°C
32%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) point to a daytime high of 17°C at Esenboğa International Airport on May 15, amid expected thunderstorms and showers that limit solar heating, fueling trader sentiment for the tightly contested 17°C (35.5%) and 18°C (32.0%) outcomes. Persistent northerly airflow from an early May cold outbreak has kept recent highs below seasonal norms of 20-21°C, with overnight lows near 10-12°C providing a cool baseline. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread around 17-18°C, but uncertainty persists in cloud timing and convective activity, which could cap peaks at 17°C or allow brief clearing to 18°C. Airport station observations will resolve the market, with final 12z updates expected today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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