Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C in Taipei on May 14 (99.9% implied probability), driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts capping daytime highs at 21–26°C under persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers from a lingering frontal system. Real-time observations at the resolution station, Taipei Songshan Airport, confirm peak readings near 26°C midday, with cloud cover suppressing solar heating and inhibiting further convective warming—conditions akin to recent rainy May days averaging 2–3°C below the 28°C climatological norm. Model ensembles from CWA and global forecasts align on subdued intensity, though an improbable late-afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher before sunset. Final observations expected post-midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
$75,856 Vol.
$75,856 Vol.
14 may 2026
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
<1%
$75,856 Vol.
$75,856 Vol.
14 may 2026
26°C
$8,325 Vol.
100%
27°C or higher
$9,951 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C in Taipei on May 14 (99.9% implied probability), driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts capping daytime highs at 21–26°C under persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers from a lingering frontal system. Real-time observations at the resolution station, Taipei Songshan Airport, confirm peak readings near 26°C midday, with cloud cover suppressing solar heating and inhibiting further convective warming—conditions akin to recent rainy May days averaging 2–3°C below the 28°C climatological norm. Model ensembles from CWA and global forecasts align on subdued intensity, though an improbable late-afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher before sunset. Final observations expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$75,856Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C in Taipei on May 14 (99.9% implied probability), driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts capping daytime highs at 21–26°C under persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers from a lingering frontal system. Real-time observations at the resolution station, Taipei Songshan Airport, confirm peak readings near 26°C midday, with cloud cover suppressing solar heating and inhibiting further convective warming—conditions akin to recent rainy May days averaging 2–3°C below the 28°C climatological norm. Model ensembles from CWA and global forecasts align on subdued intensity, though an improbable late-afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher before sunset. Final observations expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$75,856Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C in Taipei on May 14 (99.9% implied probability), driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts capping daytime highs at 21–26°C under persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers from a lingering frontal system. Real-time observations at the resolution station, Taipei Songshan Airport, confirm peak readings near 26°C midday, with cloud cover suppressing solar heating and inhibiting further convective warming—conditions akin to recent rainy May days averaging 2–3°C below the 28°C climatological norm. Model ensembles from CWA and global forecasts align on subdued intensity, though an improbable late-afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher before sunset. Final observations expected post-midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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