Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.5% implied probability for a 13°C high temperature at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport on May 16, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and KNMI guidance around 12–14°C maxima. Persistent northerly winds are advecting cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea across northwest Europe, capping daytime highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C through scattered showers and partial cloud cover that limit solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C highs on May 13 and 14—bolster model reliability amid low short-range uncertainty, though urban heat island effects or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes by 1°C; KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
13°C 48%
14°C 28%
12°C 15%
15°C 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
15%
13°C
48%
14°C
28%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 48%
14°C 28%
12°C 15%
15°C 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
8°C or below
$1,454 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$630 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,005 Vol.
1%
11°C
$497 Vol.
2%
12°C
$850 Vol.
15%
13°C
$1,004 Vol.
48%
14°C
$583 Vol.
28%
15°C
$337 Vol.
3%
16°C
$375 Vol.
1%
17°C
$431 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$647 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.5% implied probability for a 13°C high temperature at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport on May 16, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and KNMI guidance around 12–14°C maxima. Persistent northerly winds are advecting cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea across northwest Europe, capping daytime highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C through scattered showers and partial cloud cover that limit solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C highs on May 13 and 14—bolster model reliability amid low short-range uncertainty, though urban heat island effects or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes by 1°C; KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volumen
$7,808Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.5% implied probability for a 13°C high temperature at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport on May 16, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and KNMI guidance around 12–14°C maxima. Persistent northerly winds are advecting cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea across northwest Europe, capping daytime highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C through scattered showers and partial cloud cover that limit solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C highs on May 13 and 14—bolster model reliability amid low short-range uncertainty, though urban heat island effects or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes by 1°C; KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,808Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.5% implied probability for a 13°C high temperature at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport on May 16, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and KNMI guidance around 12–14°C maxima. Persistent northerly winds are advecting cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea across northwest Europe, capping daytime highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C through scattered showers and partial cloud cover that limit solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C highs on May 13 and 14—bolster model reliability amid low short-range uncertainty, though urban heat island effects or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes by 1°C; KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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