Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 11°C high for Amsterdam on May 15 at 47.5%, reflecting the latest KNMI forecast of a 12°C maximum amid moderate showers alternating with sun, 70% precipitation chance, and northwest winds at force 3, which limit solar heating. Recent observations underscore this positioning: May 14 evening temperatures hovered at 6–8°C across Dutch stations, continuing a cool May pattern below seasonal norms (typically 16–18°C), with the prior day's May 12 peak at 13°C. Met Office models align closely at 12°C with light rain and gusts to 26 mph. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty, as cloud cover and northerly airflow could cap peaks at 10–11°C; watch overnight ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements ahead of official KNMI resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
11°C 45%
10°C 33%
12°C 11%
9°C 6.3%
NUEVO
$14,350 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,350 Vol.
15 may 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
3%
9°C
6%
10°C
33%
11°C
45%
12°C
11%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 45%
10°C 33%
12°C 11%
9°C 6.3%
NUEVO
$14,350 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,350 Vol.
15 may 2026
7°C or below
$928 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,328 Vol.
3%
9°C
$1,291 Vol.
6%
10°C
$2,006 Vol.
33%
11°C
$1,811 Vol.
45%
12°C
$2,513 Vol.
11%
13°C
$1,233 Vol.
3%
14°C
$619 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$652 Vol.
1%
16°C
$725 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 11°C high for Amsterdam on May 15 at 47.5%, reflecting the latest KNMI forecast of a 12°C maximum amid moderate showers alternating with sun, 70% precipitation chance, and northwest winds at force 3, which limit solar heating. Recent observations underscore this positioning: May 14 evening temperatures hovered at 6–8°C across Dutch stations, continuing a cool May pattern below seasonal norms (typically 16–18°C), with the prior day's May 12 peak at 13°C. Met Office models align closely at 12°C with light rain and gusts to 26 mph. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty, as cloud cover and northerly airflow could cap peaks at 10–11°C; watch overnight ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements ahead of official KNMI resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volumen
$14,350Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 11°C high for Amsterdam on May 15 at 47.5%, reflecting the latest KNMI forecast of a 12°C maximum amid moderate showers alternating with sun, 70% precipitation chance, and northwest winds at force 3, which limit solar heating. Recent observations underscore this positioning: May 14 evening temperatures hovered at 6–8°C across Dutch stations, continuing a cool May pattern below seasonal norms (typically 16–18°C), with the prior day's May 12 peak at 13°C. Met Office models align closely at 12°C with light rain and gusts to 26 mph. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty, as cloud cover and northerly airflow could cap peaks at 10–11°C; watch overnight ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements ahead of official KNMI resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,350Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 11°C high for Amsterdam on May 15 at 47.5%, reflecting the latest KNMI forecast of a 12°C maximum amid moderate showers alternating with sun, 70% precipitation chance, and northwest winds at force 3, which limit solar heating. Recent observations underscore this positioning: May 14 evening temperatures hovered at 6–8°C across Dutch stations, continuing a cool May pattern below seasonal norms (typically 16–18°C), with the prior day's May 12 peak at 13°C. Met Office models align closely at 12°C with light rain and gusts to 26 mph. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty, as cloud cover and northerly airflow could cap peaks at 10–11°C; watch overnight ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements ahead of official KNMI resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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