Ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models show a tight 62-69°F spread for New York City Central Park's high temperature on May 15, centering trader-implied probabilities at 64-65°F (32.5%) and 66-67°F (29.5%) due to variability in cloud cover thickness and southwest wind speeds—thicker clouds and lighter winds favor the lower bin, while clearer skies or stronger mixing support the higher. National Weather Service guidance calls for highs near 65-66°F with showers likely and increasing clouds under a cool upper-air pattern, below the mid-May climatological average of around 70°F amid a spring lingering with winter-like influences. New observational data and final model runs today could tip the balance before official measurement resolves the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 29%
62-63°F 20%
68-69°F 15%
NUEVO
$14,024 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,024 Vol.
15 may 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 29%
62-63°F 20%
68-69°F 15%
NUEVO
$14,024 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,024 Vol.
15 may 2026
55°F or below
$1,321 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$597 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$1,415 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$875 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$1,532 Vol.
20%
64-65°F
$1,302 Vol.
36%
66-67°F
$1,334 Vol.
29%
68-69°F
$1,042 Vol.
15%
70-71°F
$2,071 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$757 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$1,799 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models show a tight 62-69°F spread for New York City Central Park's high temperature on May 15, centering trader-implied probabilities at 64-65°F (32.5%) and 66-67°F (29.5%) due to variability in cloud cover thickness and southwest wind speeds—thicker clouds and lighter winds favor the lower bin, while clearer skies or stronger mixing support the higher. National Weather Service guidance calls for highs near 65-66°F with showers likely and increasing clouds under a cool upper-air pattern, below the mid-May climatological average of around 70°F amid a spring lingering with winter-like influences. New observational data and final model runs today could tip the balance before official measurement resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$14,024Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models show a tight 62-69°F spread for New York City Central Park's high temperature on May 15, centering trader-implied probabilities at 64-65°F (32.5%) and 66-67°F (29.5%) due to variability in cloud cover thickness and southwest wind speeds—thicker clouds and lighter winds favor the lower bin, while clearer skies or stronger mixing support the higher. National Weather Service guidance calls for highs near 65-66°F with showers likely and increasing clouds under a cool upper-air pattern, below the mid-May climatological average of around 70°F amid a spring lingering with winter-like influences. New observational data and final model runs today could tip the balance before official measurement resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,024Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models show a tight 62-69°F spread for New York City Central Park's high temperature on May 15, centering trader-implied probabilities at 64-65°F (32.5%) and 66-67°F (29.5%) due to variability in cloud cover thickness and southwest wind speeds—thicker clouds and lighter winds favor the lower bin, while clearer skies or stronger mixing support the higher. National Weather Service guidance calls for highs near 65-66°F with showers likely and increasing clouds under a cool upper-air pattern, below the mid-May climatological average of around 70°F amid a spring lingering with winter-like influences. New observational data and final model runs today could tip the balance before official measurement resolves the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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