Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola virus disease outbreak in remote areas of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no U.S. case by June 30. The affected zones in Ituri province remain distant from major international airports, limiting traveler exposure, while CDC assessments rate importation risk to the general U.S. population as low with moderate confidence. Established protocols including enhanced entry screening, 21-day contact monitoring, ring vaccination, and rapid diagnostic capabilities further reinforce containment. Although spread to urban centers or neighboring countries with direct U.S. flights could introduce an imported case within the short remaining window, current epidemiological patterns and response intensity make such transmission unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEbola case in the US by June 30?
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola virus disease outbreak in remote areas of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no U.S. case by June 30. The affected zones in Ituri province remain distant from major international airports, limiting traveler exposure, while CDC assessments rate importation risk to the general U.S. population as low with moderate confidence. Established protocols including enhanced entry screening, 21-day contact monitoring, ring vaccination, and rapid diagnostic capabilities further reinforce containment. Although spread to urban centers or neighboring countries with direct U.S. flights could introduce an imported case within the short remaining window, current epidemiological patterns and response intensity make such transmission unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volumen
$173Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola virus disease outbreak in remote areas of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no U.S. case by June 30. The affected zones in Ituri province remain distant from major international airports, limiting traveler exposure, while CDC assessments rate importation risk to the general U.S. population as low with moderate confidence. Established protocols including enhanced entry screening, 21-day contact monitoring, ring vaccination, and rapid diagnostic capabilities further reinforce containment. Although spread to urban centers or neighboring countries with direct U.S. flights could introduce an imported case within the short remaining window, current epidemiological patterns and response intensity make such transmission unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$173Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola virus disease outbreak in remote areas of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no U.S. case by June 30. The affected zones in Ituri province remain distant from major international airports, limiting traveler exposure, while CDC assessments rate importation risk to the general U.S. population as low with moderate confidence. Established protocols including enhanced entry screening, 21-day contact monitoring, ring vaccination, and rapid diagnostic capabilities further reinforce containment. Although spread to urban centers or neighboring countries with direct U.S. flights could introduce an imported case within the short remaining window, current epidemiological patterns and response intensity make such transmission unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes