Current NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate a moderate risk of only R1-R2 radio blackouts through mid-week amid Solar Cycle 25 maximum conditions, with sunspot numbers near 110 and active regions producing occasional M-class flares. Coronal-hole high-speed streams may trigger isolated G1-G2 geomagnetic storms early in the period, but model consensus points to limited CME impacts or sustained high activity that would meet the G3+ or R3+ thresholds defining major events. This outlook, set against the historical frequency of such flares near cycle peak, supports trader positioning around zero to two events while leaving room for shifts if new sunspot emergence accelerates flare output.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
0 81%
2 40%
1 39%
3 35%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 may 2026
0
63%
1
39%
2
40%
3
35%
4
22%
5
2%
6+
2%
0 81%
2 40%
1 39%
3 35%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 may 2026
0
$13 Vol.
63%
1
$0 Vol.
39%
2
$0 Vol.
40%
3
$0 Vol.
35%
4
$50 Vol.
22%
5
$91 Vol.
2%
6+
$133 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Current NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate a moderate risk of only R1-R2 radio blackouts through mid-week amid Solar Cycle 25 maximum conditions, with sunspot numbers near 110 and active regions producing occasional M-class flares. Coronal-hole high-speed streams may trigger isolated G1-G2 geomagnetic storms early in the period, but model consensus points to limited CME impacts or sustained high activity that would meet the G3+ or R3+ thresholds defining major events. This outlook, set against the historical frequency of such flares near cycle peak, supports trader positioning around zero to two events while leaving room for shifts if new sunspot emergence accelerates flare output.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Volumen
$287Fecha de finalización
23 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Current NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate a moderate risk of only R1-R2 radio blackouts through mid-week amid Solar Cycle 25 maximum conditions, with sunspot numbers near 110 and active regions producing occasional M-class flares. Coronal-hole high-speed streams may trigger isolated G1-G2 geomagnetic storms early in the period, but model consensus points to limited CME impacts or sustained high activity that would meet the G3+ or R3+ thresholds defining major events. This outlook, set against the historical frequency of such flares near cycle peak, supports trader positioning around zero to two events while leaving room for shifts if new sunspot emergence accelerates flare output.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volumen
$287Fecha de finalización
23 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate a moderate risk of only R1-R2 radio blackouts through mid-week amid Solar Cycle 25 maximum conditions, with sunspot numbers near 110 and active regions producing occasional M-class flares. Coronal-hole high-speed streams may trigger isolated G1-G2 geomagnetic storms early in the period, but model consensus points to limited CME impacts or sustained high activity that would meet the G3+ or R3+ thresholds defining major events. This outlook, set against the historical frequency of such flares near cycle peak, supports trader positioning around zero to two events while leaving room for shifts if new sunspot emergence accelerates flare output.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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