Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a daytime high near 63°F for Seattle on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, placing the outcome well above the 58°F threshold. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology, where Seattle’s average high reaches 65°F amid seasonal Pacific warming, and recent Global Forecast System runs show minimal variability with no significant cold-air intrusion expected. Traders assign negligible probability to cooler bins because short-range guidance from NOAA exhibits high confidence at this two-day lead time, though an unforecasted frontal passage or measurement error at Sea-Tac Airport remains the only realistic path to a lower outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 18 de mayo?
58°F o más 99.4%
56-57°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$10,337 Vol.
$10,337 Vol.
39°F o menos
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F o más
99%
58°F o más 99.4%
56-57°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$10,337 Vol.
$10,337 Vol.
39°F o menos
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F o más
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEACurrent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a daytime high near 63°F for Seattle on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, placing the outcome well above the 58°F threshold. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology, where Seattle’s average high reaches 65°F amid seasonal Pacific warming, and recent Global Forecast System runs show minimal variability with no significant cold-air intrusion expected. Traders assign negligible probability to cooler bins because short-range guidance from NOAA exhibits high confidence at this two-day lead time, though an unforecasted frontal passage or measurement error at Sea-Tac Airport remains the only realistic path to a lower outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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